Roy Morgan poll early August 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 919 of whom 878 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 29 July 2013 to 11 August 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-7.0%)
  • Labour 34.0% (+5.0%)
  • Green 14.0% (+4.0%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 42
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121

On this poll there would be a centre-left government.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (-0.5%)
  • Wrong 30.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)
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