Roy Morgan poll late July 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 824 of whom 791 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 15 July 2013 to 28 July 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (-1.5%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 37
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – six more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 – eleven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll there would be a centre-right government.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 30.0% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] blogged at Curiablog details of the latest Roy Morgan poll. There seem to be two distinctive trends over the last two […]

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