Roy Morgan poll late June 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 971 of whom 913 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 17 June 2013 to 30 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+2.5%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-1.5%)
  • Green 13.0% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 3.5% (-2.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 57.0% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 32.0% (-1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.0% (-1.5%)
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2 Comments »

  1. […] The latest Roy Morgan poll is at Curiablog. […]

  2. Paul Scott said

    I think we know that Green voting is a fairy wishful think, and that votes will go that way. It really does not matter to the centre right, as Green votes are just siphoned from Labour .
    I also suggest here that the centre right followers of NZ First may come back to NZ Nat, I certainly will, and I will carry as many as I can,.
    We can not afford to be with a party which will not show true colours .
    In my opinion David Cunliffe will gain no traction as Labour leader. He is an unlikeable person

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