Roy Morgan poll late May 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,057 of whom 1,004 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 13 May 2013 to 26 May 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 53
  • Labour 46
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 53 + United Future 1 = 54/120 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.5% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)
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