3 News Reid Research Poll April 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Approx 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 13 to 18 April 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.4% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 30.2% (-2.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (+0.6%)
  • United Future
  • Mana 1.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (+0.4%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/123 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/123 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 37.6% (-3.4%)
  • Shearer 10.0% (nc)
  • Peters
  • Norman

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 55.3% (-1.5%) well and 32.2% (+6.4%) poor = +23.1% net well (-7.9%)
  • David Shearer – 32.4% (-2.5%) well and 35.8% (-3.8%) poor = -3.4% net well (-6.3%)

GCSB

  • 50% trusted
  • 40% not trusted
  • 11% unsure

Kim Dotcom

  • 48% should be allowed to stay
  • 42% sent to US
  • 10% unsure

 

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