Roy Morgan poll early April 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 879 of whom 830 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 01 April 2013 to 14 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 40.5% (-3.5%)
  • Labour 35.5% (+1.0%)
  • Green 13.5% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 50
  • Labour 43
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + United Future 1 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 67/120 – six more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 51.5% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 35.5% (+1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] blogged at Curiablog the latest Roy Morgan poll, which projects Labour/Greens/Mana with 61 seats out of […]

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