Roy Morgan poll early March 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.5% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
  • Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
  • Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)
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