Roy Morgan poll early February 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008 of whom 973 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 27 January 2013 to 10 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-2%)
  • Labour 34.5% (+3%)
  • Green 13.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 44
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 62/123 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+2.0%)
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