Archive for February 17, 2013

One News Colmar Brunton Poll February 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,026 respondents of whom 875 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 9 to 13 February 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+5.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 57/121 -6 fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44% (+5.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1%)
Decision to keep Hekia Parata as Minister of Education
  •  21% right decision
  • 59% wrong decision
  • 20% unsure

Economic Outlook

  • Better 48% (+7%)
  • Same 22% (-2%)
  • Worse 30% (-4%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+6%)
  • Oppose 64% (-5%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Four Year Term

  • Support 56%
  • Oppose 40%
  • Unsure 5%

Make unemployed apply for jobs in Christchurch

  • Yes 39%
  • No 53%
  • Unsure 7%

Comments (3)

Roy Morgan poll early February 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008 of whom 973 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 27 January 2013 to 10 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-2%)
  • Labour 34.5% (+3%)
  • Green 13.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 0.5% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 44
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 62/123 – one more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+2.0%)

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