One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: assume 26 May to 31 May 2012

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
  • United Future 0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.0% (-1.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 59/122 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (nc)
  • David Shearer 14% (+3%)
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