NZ Herald Digipoll 11 November 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.1%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 689 had a party vote preference

Dates: 03 to 09 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (+0.7%)
  • Labour 28.7% (-1.2%)
  • Green 12.6% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 3.7% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 0.5% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.8% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 36
  • Green 16
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 53/124 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 68.5% (-2.1%)
  • Goff 17.9% (+6.2%)
  • Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)
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