Herald Digipoll late October 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 10.3%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 673 had a party vote preference

Dates: 28 to 02 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 54.2% (+0.7%)
  • Labour 29.1% (-1.2%)
  • Green 10.1% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 1.7% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 1.9% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.9% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.1% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.1% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/124 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 50/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.6% (nc)
  • Goff 11.7% (-2.0%)
  • Peters 3.7% (+0.2%)

 

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