Archive for November 6, 2011

UMR on foreign ownership

Stuff reports:

A UMR Research survey, commissioned by a North Island farmer group trying to buy the in-receivership Crafar dairy farms against a Chinese bid, showed 82 per cent of 500 respondents believed foreign ownership of farms and agriculture land was a “bad thing”. Only 10 per cent believed it a “good thing” and 8 per cent were unsure.

The online poll, which weighed and matched data with census data to ensure a nationally representative sample, also found Kiwis are not xenophobic in opposing a Crafar sale to the Chinese.

The main reasons given for not selling to foreign companies were to keep control of our primary resource, and so that Kiwis benefited from exports, not foreigners.

Though 81 per cent opposed Chinese companies being allowed to buy agricultural land, 76 per cent were against US buyers, 67 per cent did not want British companies buying, and Australia got a 54 per cent thumbs down.

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One News Colmar Brunton poll October 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 29 October to 2 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (nc)
  • Labour 30.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.9% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 37
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/123 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 49/122 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 56% (-3%)
  • Phil Goff 12% (+4%)

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Herald Digipoll late October 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 10.3%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 673 had a party vote preference

Dates: 28 to 02 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 54.2% (+0.7%)
  • Labour 29.1% (-1.2%)
  • Green 10.1% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 1.7% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 1.9% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.9% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.1% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.1% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/124 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 50/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.6% (nc)
  • Goff 11.7% (-2.0%)
  • Peters 3.7% (+0.2%)

 

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