Fairfax Research International poll September 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Dates: 22 to 26 August 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 54.3% (-2.8%)
  • Labour 28.1% (+2.4%)
  • Green 10.1% (-0.9%)
  • ACT 1.5% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.3% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 68
  • Labour 35
  • Green 13
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 51.0% (-3.6%)
  • Phil Goff 6.9% (-1.6%)
  • Winston Peters 3.0% (+0.2%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] Minister Kevin RuddFairfax Poll The latest Fairfax poll is out and details here. I’ve done an analysis at curiablog.According to my time and size weighted average of the public polls, the seat allocation would be […]

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