Archive for September 28, 2011

Fairfax Research International poll September 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Dates: 22 to 26 August 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 54.3% (-2.8%)
  • Labour 28.1% (+2.4%)
  • Green 10.1% (-0.9%)
  • ACT 1.5% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.3% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 68
  • Labour 35
  • Green 13
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 51.0% (-3.6%)
  • Phil Goff 6.9% (-1.6%)
  • Winston Peters 3.0% (+0.2%)
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