One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006, of whom 847 had a party preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 13 to 17 August 2011

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-4.0%)
  • ACT 1.7% (-1.4%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-1.6%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.9% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 37
  • Green 8
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/122 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 8 + Mana 1= 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 57% (+3%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 2% (-1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 49% (-3%)
  • Worse 31% (+3%)
  • Same 19% (-1%)
Rugby World Cup
  • Hosting cost of $40m is money well spent – 54% agree, 40% disagree
  •  50% less likely to buy Adidas in future due to jersey prices
  • 69% think All Blacks will win, 17% do not
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