NZ Herald Digipoll August 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.2%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 666 had a party vote preference

Dates: 19 to 26 August 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (-0.3%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-1.6%)
  • Green 9.8% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 1.8% (-0.2%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 1.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.6% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 52/124 -10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 69.7% (-0.6%)
  • Goff 11.5% (+2.2%)
  • Peters 5.2% (+2.2%)
  • Clark 5.8% (-2.1%)

Direction

  • Right 59.5% (+2.0%)
  • Wrong 32.2% (-1.6%)
  • Unsure 8.3% (-0.4%)
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