Archive for July, 2011

Roy Morgan Poll late June 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 916, of whom 838 have a party preference

Dates: 13 June to 26 June 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
  • Green 5.5% (-1.5%)
  • ACT 2.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 38
  • Green 7
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 7 + Mana 1 = 46/122 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.5% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 31.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 15.0% (nc)
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New Plymouth Poll June 2011

The Taranaki Daily News reports a poll for New Plymouth:

  • 462 responses out of 820 people polled
  • Electorate Vote: Jonathan Young 41.6%, Andrew Little 25.3%, Neither 13.6%, Not Sure 19.5%
  • Party Vote: National 46.1%,Labour 16.5%, Greens 5.6%

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