NZ Herald Digipoll July 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.2%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 666 had a party vote preference

Dates: 19 to 27 July 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 52.3% (+1.1%)
  • Labour 33.1% (-3.0%)
  • Green 8.3% (+1.7%)
  • NZ First 0.9% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.4% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.6% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 41
  • Green 10
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/124 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 + Mana 1 = 52/124 -10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 70.3% (-0.3%)
  • Goff 9.3% (-2.6%)
  • Peters 2.9% (-2.5%)
  • Clark 7.9% (+3.8%)

Direction

  • Right 57.5%
  • Wrong 33.8%
  • Unsure 8.7%

Capital Gains Tax

  • Strongly favour 16.5%
  • Moderately favour 21.4%
  • No opinion 22.8%
  • Moderately against 16%
  • Strongly against 21.5%
  • More likely to vote Labour 22.1%
  • Less likely to vote Labour 14.4%
  • No difference 61.3%
Asset Sales
  • Strongly favour 7.2%
  • Moderately favour 19.8%
  • No opinion 15.5%
  • Moderately against 22.1%
  • Strongly against 34.5%
Debt Repayment Preferences
  • CGT 43.1%
  • Asset part-sales 34.4%
SAS in Afghanistan
  • Remain beyond March 2012 23.1%
  • Withdraw as scheduled 63.3%

Maori

  • Too much say 42.2%
  • Too little say 13.2%
  • About the right amount 39.8%
Women paid less because they are women
  • Yes 54.2%
  • No 36.4%
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