Roy Morgan poll early June 2011

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 897, of whom 816 have a party preference

Dates: 30 May to 12 June 2011

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (-6.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 3.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (+0.5)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 37
  • Green 9
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 70/121 – 9 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 29.5% (+1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 15.0% (-2.0%)
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