Herald Digipoll May 2011

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 19 to 25 May 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald and NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 54.4% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 33.7% (-3.5%)
  • Green 5.5% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 2.7% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.7% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.0%

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 42
  • Green 7
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Mana 1
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 7 + Mana 1 = 50/124 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 67.1% (+14.6%)
  • Goff 11.9% (+4.2%)
  • Peters 5.4% (+2.1%)
  • Clark 4.1% (-1.5%)

Leader Ratings

  • Phil Goff – 22.2% above average, 40.4% average, 33.05 below average

KiwiSaver

  • 40.0% approved of changes to KiwiSaver in Budget
  • 48..3% disapprove

Financial situation

  • 9.2% say their financial situation has improved
  • 50.1% say their financial situation is much the same

Asset Sales

  • 29.5% approved of partial SOE sales to raise $7b
  • 62.4% disapprove

Minor Parties

  • 11% believe a Don Brash-led Act Party in coalition with National would leave New Zealand better off
  • 47.3% believe a Don Brash-led Act Party in coalition with National would leave New Zealand worse off
  • 60% say Maori Party is a positive force for Maori voters

Superannuation

  • 52.3% think the age of eligibility for superannuation should be discussed now
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