Roy Morgan poll mid October 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 924, of whom 859 have a party preference

Dates: 04 October to 17 October 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.5% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-3.5%)
  • Green 8.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Maori 1.5% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 41
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – five more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 = 51/123 – 11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 60.5% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 24.0% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 15.5% (-1.0%)
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