Archive for September 27, 2010

One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Around 1,000

Dates: Estimated 18 September to 23 September 2010

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+5.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.1% (-1.6%)
  • Maori 2.3% (nc)
  • United Future
  • Progressive
  • NZ First 2.4% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 39
  • Green 10
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 10 = 49/123 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52% (+7%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (-1%)
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Roy Morgan Poll mid September 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 895, of whom 846 have a party preference

Dates: 30 August to 12 September 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 34.0% (+1.5%)
  • Green 8.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-1.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 43
  • Green 10
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 10 = 53/124 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-3.0%)

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