Roy Morgan Poll late August 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 893, of whom 835 have a party preference

Dates: 16 August to 29 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 32.5% (-1.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 41
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 11 = 52/121 – 9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 28.0% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.0%)
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