Roy Morgan Poll late May 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 902, of whom 852 have a party preference

Dates: 17 May to 30 May 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.5% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (-3.5%)
  • Green 9.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 3.5% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 37
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/121 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/121 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.5% (+4.0%)
  • Wrong 26.0% (-2.5%)
  • Can’t Say 10.5% (-1.5%)
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