Archive for February 13, 2010

NZ Herald Digipoll February 2010

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 600 respondents (4.1% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 29 January to 10 February 2010

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (-1.3%)
  • Labour 33.6% (+1.2%)
  • Green 4.6% (nc)
  • NZ First 1.7% (+0.8%)
  • Maori 2.8% (nc)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.8% (-0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.2% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 72
  • Labour 43
  • Green 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 44/123 -18 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 58.0% (+2.7%)
  • Clark 7.0% (-3.6%)
  • Goff 6.8% (+0.6%)

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Herald Digipoll on NZ Flag

A Herald Digipoll of 600 respondents from 29 Jan to 10 Feb 2010 found:

  • 52% back a change in the NZ flag, while 44% do not
  • If a new flag is designed the preferred national symbol on it is silver fern 53%, kiwi 18%, koru 13%, southern cross 12.5%, tiki 1%
  • 54% say the current flag is distinctive enough
  • 60% want the union jack kept on the flag

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Roy Morgan Poll late January 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,758 (2.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 18 January to 31 January 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
  • ACT 2.0% (nc)
  • Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/121 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 = 48/121 – 13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 71.0% (+2.5%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (-1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 9.0% (-1.5%)

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