Roy Morgan Poll early October 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 854 (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 21 September to 04 October 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 57.5% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-5.5%)
  • Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (nc)
  • United Future 1.0% (+1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 2.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 71
  • Labour 35
  • Green 8
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 44/123 – 18 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 72.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 16.5% (-8.0%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (+3.5%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] Have blogged at Curiablog the Roy Morgan poll out today. Has National at all time high of 57.5% and cocountry heading in […]

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