Archive for August 2, 2009

One News Colmar Brunton Poll July 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,001 adults, of whom 850 are decided

Dates: 25 July to 29 July 2009

Client: One News

Report:

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 31.0% (nc)
  • Green 7.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.1% (+0.9%)
  • United Future not reported yet
  • Progressive not reported yet
  • NZ First 1.6%

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 37
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/122 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 60% economy over next 12 months will be better (+18.0%)
  • 18% same (-1.0%)
  • 22% worse (-17.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 51% (nc)
  • Phil Goff 7% (+1%)
  • Helen Clark 3% (-6%)

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SAS Troops and Afghanistan poll

Research NZ polled 500 New Zealanders from 6 to 9 July:

  • 61% agree with extending by a year the tour of duty of 140 troops working on reconstruction projects
  • 47% support sending SAS soldiers to Afghanistan and 44% are against

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