Roy Morgan Poll mid April 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 897 (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 06 April to 19 April 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 32.5% (+3.5%)
  • Green 8.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 2.5% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 3.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 40
  • Green 10
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 51/122 -11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 68.5% (+2.5%)
  • Wrong 17.0% (-5.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)
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