Roy Morgan poll early April 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 910 (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 23 March to 05 April 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (-5.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (nc)
  • Green 9.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 4.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 4.0% (+2.0%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 36
  • Green 11
  • ACT 5
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 5 + United Future 1 = 68/121 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 11 = 48/121 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.0% (-2.5%)
  • Wrong 22.0% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)
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