One News Colmar Brunton Poll March 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Approx 1,000 adults

Dates: Probably 28 March to 2 April 2009

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 57.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.6% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-1.2%)
  • United Future not reported yet
  • Progressive not reported yet
  • NZ First not reported yet

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 37
  • Green 8
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 73/124 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/124 -17 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Economic Outlook

  • 42% economy over next 12 months will be better (+5.0%)
  • 19% same (-2.0%)
  • 39% worse (-3.0%)
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: