Roy Morgan Poll late February 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 908 (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 16 February to 1 March 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (+7.5%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-6.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (nc)
  • ACT 1.5% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 3.5% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 32
  • Green 11
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 73/122 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Progressive 1 + Greens 11 = 44/122 -18 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 69.0% (+5.5%)
  • Wrong 18.5% (-2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (-3.5%)
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: