Archive for November, 2008

Tauranga One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2008

One News reports a special poll done in Tauranga in late October. Findings are:

Electorate Vote

  • Simon Bridges, National 54% (+6%)
  • Winston Peters, NZ First  28% (nc)
  • Larry Baldock, Kiwi Party 7% (+3%)
  • Anne Pankhurst, Labour 5% (-10%)

They also reported that on the party vote, NZ First was at only 6%, half the 13% they got in the 2005 election

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Palmerston North Poll October 2008

The Manawatu Standard has published a poll done by Versus Research in Palmerston North.

Their findings are:

  • Party Vote – National 36% to Labour 33%
  • Electorate Vote – Malcolm Plimmer (National) 37% to Iain Lees-Galloway (Labour) 34%

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Ikaroa-Rawhiti Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Ikaroa-Rawhiti voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 45.5%
  • Maori Party 39.2%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 3.1%
  • Green 3.9%

Candidate Support

  • Parekura Horomia, Labour 49.8%
  • Derek Fox, Maori Party 44.4%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 50.8%
  • Winston Peters 6.0%
  • Pita Sharples 9.1%
  • John Key 4.6%
  • Tariana Turia 4.1%
Country Direction
  • Right 64.0%
  • No 23.7%
  • Don’t Know 12.3%
Parekura Horomia Performance
  • Very Satisfied 19.4%
  • Satisfied 53.9%
  • Not Satisfied 18.5%
  • Don’t Know 8.3%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Parekura Horomia 30.1%
  • Pita Sharples 20.4%
  • Hone Harawira 3.7%
  • Tariana Turia 11.1%
  • Winston Peters 7.1%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 15.6%
  • Education 19.0%
  • Law & Order 8.3%
  • Health 12.9%
  • Family Issues 6.5%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 83.4% support, 12.1% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 20.8% support, 73.1% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 15.4%
  • Maori first 67.0%
  • Both 17.4%

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Nelson Poll

The Nelson Mail has done a poll of 500 voters in the Nelson electorate.

Party Vote

  • National, 40.4%
  • Labour 43.3%
  • Greens 10.1%
  • NZ First 2.6%
  • United Future 1.0%
  • Maori Party 1.0%

Electorate Vote

  • Nick Smith, National 65.8%
  • Maryan Street, Labour 29.8%
  • Diana Mellor, Greens 4.2%

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West Coast-Tasman Poll October 2008

The Nelson Mail has done a poll of 500 people in West Coast Tasman.

Party Vote

  • National 44.7%
  • Labour 33.9%
  • Green 13.7%
  • NZ First 4.3%

Electorate Vote

  • Damien O’Connor, Labour – 48.9%
  • Chris Auchinvole, National – 45.4%
  • Kevin Hague, Greens – 3.8%

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Te Tai Tonga Maori TV TNS Poll October 2008

Polling Company: TNS

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 500 (4.5% maximum margin of error) but 415 decided (4.9% margin of error)

Dates: 17 October to 24 October 2008

Client: Maori TV

Report: Maori TV

Party Support

  • Labour 45%
  • Maori Party 25%
  • National 17%
  • Green 7%
  • NZ First 6%

Note: 16% undecided

Electorate Support

  • Mahara Okeroa, Labour 49%
  • Rahui Katene, Maori Party 39%
  • Dora Langsbury, Green 7%

Note 19% undecided

Preferred PM

  • Helen Clark 38%
  • Winston Peters 11%
  • John Key 9%
  • Pita Sharples 7%
  • Tariana Turia 4%

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Hauraki-Waikato Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Hauraki-Waikato voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 41.3%
  • Maori Party 41.0%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 6.4%
  • Green 4.5%

Candidate Support

  • Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 50.3%
  • Angeline Greensill, Maori Party 49.7%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 47.2%
  • Winston Peters 7.8%
  • Pita Sharples 8.6%
  • John Key 5.7%
  • Tariana Turia 4.9%
Country Direction
  • Right 52.0%
  • No 32.6%
  • Don’t Know 15.4%
Nanaia Mahuta Performance
  • Very Satisfied 16.3%
  • Satisfied 57.3%
  • Not Satisfied 17.0%
  • Don’t Know 9.5%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Nanaia Mahuta 21.0%
  • Pita Sharples 26.9%
  • Hone Harawira 6.9%
  • Tariana Turia 4.7%
  • Winston Peters 10.2%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 13.2%
  • Education 12.1%
  • Law & Order 11.9%
  • Health 10.8%
  • Family Issues 9.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.6% support, 14.0% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 24.3% support, 64.0% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 13.4%
  • Maori first 77.5%
  • Both 16.2%

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Te Tai Tonga Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 44.0%
  • Maori Party 29.5%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 10.9%
  • Green 8.5%

Candidate Support

  • Mahara Okeroa, Labour 40.4%
  • Rahui Reid Katene, Maori Party 46.1%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 47.9%
  • Winston Peters 7.5%
  • Pita Sharples 6.9%
  • John Key 7.0%
  • Tariana Turia 1.1%
Country Direction
  • Right 56.1%
  • No 26.6%
  • Don’t Know 17.3%
Mahara Okeroa Performance
  • Very Satisfied 8.4%
  • Satisfied 47.9%
  • Not Satisfied 19.7%
  • Don’t Know 24.0%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Pita Sharples 23.7%
  • Hone Harawira 5.9%
  • Tariana Turia 10.5%
  • Winston Peters 10.3%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 11.7%
  • Education 15.4%
  • Law & Order 5.8%
  • Health 11.3%
  • Family Issues 5.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 79.8% support, 16.5% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 29.8% support, 65.3% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 21.4%
  • Maori first 63.0%
  • Both 14.8%

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