Posts Tagged TV3
December 14, 2009 at 1:38 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 893 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 December to 08 December 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 55.2% (-4.7%)
- Labour 30.8% (+3.6%)
- Green 7.8% (+0.9%)
- ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.7% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 1.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 38
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/125 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.9% (-5.9%)
- Clark 6.1% (-2.1%)
- Goff 8.0% (+3.3%)
- Peters 2.1% (-0.9%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 72.9% (-9.4%) doing well vs 12.3% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.6% (-14.5%)
- Goff – 32.2% (-2.0%) doing well vs 40.6% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -8.4% (-4.7%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 41% (+1%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (nc)
- sound judgement – Key by 23% (-5%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 14% (+8%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 12% (+4%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 8% (+1%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 7% (-3%)
- inflexible – Goff by 2% (-7%)
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October 18, 2009 at 6:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 917 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 October to 14 October 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 59.9% (+1.8%)
- Labour 27.2% (-2.0%)
- Green 6.9% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 74 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 77/124 – 14 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 42/124 -21 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.8% (+4.3%)
- Clark 8.2% (+0.2%)
- Goff 4.7% 6.5% (-1.8%)
- Peters 3.0%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 82.3% (+3.7%) doing well vs 7.2% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 75.1% (=5.1%)
- Goff – 34.2% (-0.2%) doing well vs 37.9% (-3.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -3.7% (+3.5%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 40% (+8%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 28% (+8%)
- honest – Key by 29% (+16%)
- down to earth – Key by 18% (+9%)
- understands economic problems – Key by 30% (+8%)
- has a lot of personality – Key by 46% (+19%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+4%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 8% (-2%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-4%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-2%)
- inflexible – Goff by 9% (-2%)
- inexperienced – Key by 19% (-3%)
- out of touch – Goff by 7% (+4%)
Economy
- 54% said impact of recession has been what they expected
- 30% say it was better than expected
- 14% worse than expected
- 2% don’t know
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August 16, 2009 at 8:41 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: estimated 08 April to 13 April 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 58.1% (+2.1%)
- Labour 29.2% (-0.8%)
- Green 7.5% (+1.4%)
- ACT 1.4% (-0.7%)
- Maori 1.2% (-1.7%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 72
- Labour 36
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 126
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 72 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 75/126 – 11 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 46/126 -18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 51.5% (+0.4%)
- Clark 8.0% (-3.5%)
- Goff 6.5% (-2.6%)
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May 2, 2009 at 11:39 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, 947 decided (3.2% and 3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 April to 21 April 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 56.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 6.1% (-0.9%)
- ACT 2.1% (+0.9%)
- Maori 2.9% (+0.8%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.3% (-0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 7
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 73/123 – 11 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 = 45/123 -17 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Preferred PM
- Key 51.1% (-0.9%)
- Clark 11.5% (-2.3%)
- Goff 9.1% (+5.4%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 80.2% (+1.2%) doing well vs 7.3% (+1.3%) doing poorly – net positive is 72.9% (-0.1%)
- Goff – 42.2% (-0.8%) doing well vs 28.3% (+1.3%) doing poorly – net positive is 13.9% (-2.1%)
Leadership Characteristics
- capable leader – Key by 32%
- good in a crisis – Key by 24%
- sound judgement – Key by 20%
- honest – Key by 13%
- down to earth – Key by 9%
- understands economic problems – Key by 22%
- has a lot of personality – Key by 27%
- in touch with Maori – Key by 2%
- more style than substance – Key by 10%
- talk down to people – Goff by 11%
- narrow minded – Goff by 12%
- inflexible – Goff by 11%
- inexperienced – Key by 22%
- out of touch – Goff by 3%
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March 7, 2009 at 11:41 am
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TV3
Polling Company: TNS (under a new name)
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: Published 18 Feb, so probably from 10 to 15 Feb 2009
Client: TV3
Report: None online
Party Support
- National 60.0% (+14.0%)
- Labour 27.0% (-6.1%)
- Green 7.0% (-2.0%)
- ACT 1.2% (-1.6%)
- Maori 2.1% (-0.6%)
- United Future 0.2% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 1.5% (-1.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 74 = 74/124 – majority possible
- Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 + Maori 5 = 48/124 = majority not possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT and United Future would only go with National, and Greens, Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour, with Maori Party able to go either way.
Preferred PM
- Key 52.0% (+15.4%)
- Clark 13.8% (-20.4%)
- Goff 3.7% (+3.7%)
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November 6, 2008 at 5:08 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: not known yet
Client: TV3
Report:
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+0.0%)
- Labour 33.1% (-4.3%)
- Green 9.0% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 3.4% (-0.1%)
- Maori 2.7% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (nc)
- ACT 2.8% (+1.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 42
- Green 12
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 4
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 59 + ACT 4 = 63/123 – majority possible
- Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 4 = 59/123 = majority not possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 36.4% (+2.8%)
- Clark 34.2% (+0.6%)
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October 23, 2008 at 7:10 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: estimated to be 15 October to 20 October 2008
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 45.1% (+0.1%)
- Labour 37.4% (-1.8%)
- Green 8.8% (+2.0%)
- NZ First 3.5% (+0.8%)
- Maori 2.3% (-0.2%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- ACT 1.7% (-0.1%)
- Progressive 0.1% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 47
- Green 11
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 57 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 + Maori 6 = 66/125 – majority possible
- National 57 + Maori 6 = 63/125 – majority possible
- Labour 47 + Progressive 1 + Greens 11 + Maori 6 = 65/125 = majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 33.6% (+2.6%)
- Clark 33.6% (+2.0%)
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October 11, 2008 at 7:58 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: estimated to be 3 October to 8 October 2008
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 45.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 39.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 6.8% (+1.8%)
- NZ First 2.7% (-0.3%)
- Maori 2.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- ACT 1.8% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.1% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 49
- Green 9
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 57 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 + Maori 6 = 66/125 – majority possible
- National 57 + Maori 6 = 63/125 – majority possible
- Labour 49 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 + Maori 6 = 65/125 = majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 31.0% (-3.0%)
- Clark 31.6% (-0.4%)
Trust to Manage Economy
- Labour/Cullen 42.7%
- National/English 41.2%
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September 29, 2008 at 6:25 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Coalition Options, National, New Zealand First, TNS, TV3
TV3/TNS asked about coalition options for National:
- 51% think John Key will do a coalition with NZ First if it is the only way he can become PM, 41% do not
- 57% approve of ACT as a coalition partner for National, 30% do not
- 47% approve of United Future as coalition partner for National, 36% do not
- 47% approve of Maori Party as coalition partner for National, 42% do not
- 39% approve of the Greens as coalition partner for National, 52% do not
- 20% approve of NZ First as coalition partner for National, 72% do not
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September 28, 2008 at 9:48 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: estimated to be 20 September to 25 September 2008
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 36.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 5.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (nc)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 46
- Green 6
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 3
- Progressive 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 62 + ACT 3 = 65/125 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 6 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 60/125 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 34.0% (nc)
- Clark 32.0% (+1.0%)
Leader Ratings
- Clark – 58% (-5%) performing well vs 27% (+5%) performing badly
- Key – 55% (-1%) performing well vs 24% (+4%) performing badly
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