Posts Tagged Te Tai Tokerau

Te Tai Tokerau poll October 2011

Digipoll did a poll of 400 respondents in the Te Tai Tokerau electorate.

Party Vote

  • Labour 27%
  • Maori 27%
  • Mana 25%
  • National 14%
  • Greens 4%
  • NZ Furst 3%

Electorate Vote

  • Hone Harawira (Mana) 42%
  • Kelvin Davis (Labour) 35%
  • Waihoroi Shortland (Maori) 20%

Preferred PM

  • John Key 26%
  • Hone Harawira 11%
  • Shane Jones 7%
  • Pita Sharples 7%
  • Phil Goff 6%
  • Tariana Turia 3%
  • Kelvin Davis 2%

Government Direction

  • Right 29%
  • Wrong 58%

Most favoured Maori MP

  • Hone Harawira 30%
  • Pita Sharples 22%
  • Kelvin Davis 11%
  • Tariana Turia 7%
  • Shane Jones 6%

Most Important Issue

  • Education 18%
  • Employment 15%
  • Whanau 10%
  • Treaty Claims 9%

Well being

  • Better Off 20%
  • Worse Off 50%
  • No difference 30%

Comments (1)

Native Affairs Baseline Te Tai Tokerau Poll June 2011

Polling Company: Baseline

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 508, of whom 439 have a party preference

Dates: 2 June to 9 June 2011

Client: Native Affairs, Maori TV

Report: Not online

By-Election Vote

  • Harawira, Mana – 41%
  • Davis, Labour – 40%
  • Tipene, Maori – 15%

Party Support

  • National 10%
  • Labour 36%
  • Green 6.%
  • ACT 0%
  • Maori 25%
  • NZ First 2%
  • Mana 21%

Coalition Partner (for those who chose Maori or Mana)

  • National 28%
  • Labour 57%

Desired Relationship of Electorate MP to main governing party

  • Work alongside 73%
  • Work separate to 16%

Was by-election justified?

  • Yes 445
  • No 56%

Candidate Impressions

  • Can be trusted – Davis 50% Harawira 38%
  • Deliver on promises – Davis 35% Harawira 38%
  • Knows local needs – Davis 43% Harawira 57%
  • Politically experienced – Davis 39% Harawira 54%
  • Capable leader – Davis 44% Harawira 43%
  • Good in a crisis – Davis 43% Harawira 37%
  • Lots of personality – Davis 26% Harawira 66%

Comments (2)

Te Tai Tokerau Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Tokerau voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 September to 7 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 34.5%
  • Maori Party 46.8%
  • NZ First 5.6%
  • National 6.4%
  • Green 2.5%

Candidate Support

  • Kelvin Davis, Labour 25.8%
  • Hone Harawira, Maori Party 69.0%
  • Greens 3.4%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 41.4%
  • Winston Peters 9.9%
  • Pita Sharples 5.5%
  • John Key 4.7%
  • Tariana Turia 5.7%
Country Direction
  • Right 49.3%
  • No 36.8%
  • Don’t Know 13.8%
Hone Harawira Performance
  • Very Satisfied 28.0%
  • Satisfied 50.1%
  • Not Satisfied 14.3%
  • Don’t Know 7.6%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Pita Sharples 15.2%
  • Hone Harawira 31.2%
  • Tariana Turia 7.4%
  • Winston Peters 6.3%
  • Shane Jones 5.6%
  • Parekura Horomia 1.8%
  • Dover Samuels 1.4%
  • Nanaia Mahuta 1.2%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell 1.2%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 19.3%
  • Education 13.5%
  • Law & Order 5.9%
  • Health 11.2%
  • Family Issues 6.8%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 70.9% support, 17.3% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 25.4% support, 60.3% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 10.5%
  • Maori first 76.3%
  • Both 12.4%

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