Posts Tagged Reid Research
April 22, 2012 at 7:39 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 14 to 19 April 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 49.8% (+2.3%)
- Labour 29.4% (nc)
- Green 14.1% (+0.8%)
- ACT 0.2% (nc)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.3% (-2.7%)
- Conservative 1.1% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 37
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 56/122 -six less than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 44.2% (-1.6%)
- Shearer 10.4% (+0.3%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 59.9% (-0.6%) doing well vs 24.0% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net rating is +35.9% (-2.6%)
- Shearer – 32.5% (-2.6%) doing well vs 26.2% (+9.0%) doing poorly – net positive is +6.3% (-11.6%)
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November 13, 2011 at 6:48 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 3 November to 10 November 2011
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 53.3% (+1.0%)
- Labour 29.9% (-0.3%)
- Green 10.2% (+0.8%)
- ACT 0.7% (-0.8%)
- Maori 1.4% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.1%)
- NZ First 2.4% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 -11 less than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 50.0% (-2.7%)
- Goff 12.4% (+2.6%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 68.9% (-2.2%) doing well vs 17.2% (-0.7%) doing poorly – net positive is 51.7% (-1.5%)
- Goff – 34.6% (+6.2%) doing well vs 44.8% (-9.4%) doing poorly – net positive is -10.2% (+15.6%)
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November 1, 2011 at 6:23 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Leader Ratings, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 20 October to 27 October 2011
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 52.3% (-5.1%)
- Labour 30.2% (+3.6%)
- Green 9.4% (-0.4%)
- ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.4% (+0.6%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.4% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 52.7% (-1.8%)
- Goff 9.8% (+3.6%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 71.1% (-5.1%) doing well vs 17.9% (+6.4%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.2% (-11.5%)
- Goff – 28.4% (+1.6%) doing well vs 54.2% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is -25.8% (-3.5%)
Govt handling of Rena
- 36% didn’t do well
- 30% okay
- 34% done well
Importance of Issues
- Environment 8.2/10
- food prices and the quality of our schools at 7.9.
- Hospital care was third at 7.8.
- The price of petrol was fourth at 7.7.
- The number of people living in poverty was fifth 7.5.
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October 2, 2011 at 8:00 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Economy, Greens, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 22 September to 28 September 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 57.4% (+3.4%)
- Labour 26.6% (-2.2%)
- Green 9.8% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.6% (-0.6%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.7% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 1.9% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 33
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/124 – 12 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 46/124 -16 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 54.5% (+1.5%)
- Goff 6.2% (-1.8%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 76.2% (+1.3%) doing well vs 11.5% (-3.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.7% (+4.3%)
- Goff – 26.8% (+0.7%) doing well vs 49.1% (-3.4%) doing poorly – net positive is -22.3% (+4.1%)
Feeling after three years
- 24% say worse off from three years ago
- 19% better off
Greens
- 55% say Greens should accept a coalition deal with National if Key offers one
- 30% say they should not
- 60% of Green voters says Greens should accept and only 27% say no
- 63% of National voters say Greens should accept and only 25% say no
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September 5, 2011 at 7:31 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, asset sales, Capital Gains Tax, CGT, Leader Ratings, privatisation, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 13 August to 17 August 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-1.1%)
- Labour 28.8% (-1.1%)
- Green 9.3% (+0.2%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.2% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 36
- Green 11
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 9 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 48/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 53% (+2.5%)
- Goff 8% (+1.1%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 74.9% (+2.8%) doing well vs 14.5% (+0.6%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.4% (+2.2%)
- Goff – 26.1% (+1.8%) doing well vs 52.5% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -26.4% (-0.9%)
Policy Preference
- 53% prefer a capital gains tax while 31% preferred partial asset sales
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July 11, 2011 at 9:47 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, earthquake, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, Rugby World Cup, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 01 July to 07 July 2011
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 55.1% (+2.1%)
- Labour 29.9% (-2.9%)
- Green 9.1% (+2.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (-0.5%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Mana 0.7% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.2% (-0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 37
- Green 11
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 50.5% (+2.3%)
- Clark 1.7% (-2.8%)
- Goff 6.9% (-0.7%)
- Peters 3.9% (-0.1%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 72.1% (+3.5%) doing well vs 13.9% (-3.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 58.2% (+6.6%)
- Goff – 24.3% (-3.4%) doing well vs 49.8% (+2.5%) doing poorly – net positive is -25.5% (-5.9%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 48% (-3%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 37% (-5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 30% (-6%)
- in touch with Maori – Goff by 3% (+6%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 18% (-1%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-1%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-4%)
- inflexible – Goff by 10% (nc)
Rugby World Cup Predicted Winner
- NZ 65%
- Australia 9%
- South Africa 7%
- England 3%
- France 1%
- Don’t Care 5%
- Don’t Know 10%
Christchurch Earthquake Recovery
- Government done a good job – 72% agree, 21% disagree
- Gerry Brownlee done a good job – 57% agree, 28% disagree
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May 29, 2011 at 7:18 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, KiwiSaver, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 20 May to 26 May 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 32.8% (+5.7%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.2%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.6% (-0.9%)
- United Future 0.2%
- Mana 0.5%
- NZ First 2.4% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 41
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 50/123 -12 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 48.2% (-4.2%)
- Clark 4.5% (+2.0%)
- Goff 7.6% (+0.8%)
- Peters 4.0% (-0.4%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 68.6% (-7.2%) doing well vs 17.0% (+4.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 51.6% (-11.3%)
- Goff – 27.7% (+1.0%) doing well vs 47.3% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -19.6% (-3.0%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 22% (-3%)
- down to earth – Key by 15% (-3%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 19% (-6%)
- has personality – Key by 54% (+4%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-3%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 3% (+1%)
- out of touch – Key by 8% (+2%)
KiwiSaver
- 43% support changes to KiwiSaver
- 42% against KiwiSaver change
- 87% of people in KiwiSaver will remain, but 13% want to exit
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October 16, 2010 at 8:15 pm · Filed under Local Body Polls, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged ACT, Auckland, John Banks, Leader Ratings, Len Brown, local body elections, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, Rodney Hide, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 863 have a party preference, (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 27 September to 06 October 2010
Client: TV3
Report:
Party Support
- National 53.8% (-0.7%)
- Labour 32.6% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.6% (-0.9%)
- ACT 0.9% (-1.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+0.9%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.1% (+0.1%)
- NZ First 1.2% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 40
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 9 = 49/124 -13 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 50.6% (+1.9%)
- Clark 3.7% (+1.4%)
- Goff 8.8% (+1.4%)
- Peters 3.4% (-0.3%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 75.9% (+6.0%) doing well vs 11.9% (-4.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.0% (+10.0%%)
- Goff – 34.2% (+3.3%) doing well vs 41.9% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -7.7% (+5.3%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 18% (-2%)
- down to earth – Key by 13% (+1%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 26% (+3%)
- has personality – Key by 46% (nc)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-2%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 3% (-10%)
- out of touch – Key by 0% (-4%)
Auckland Mayoralty (500 sample)
Rodney Hide
- 23% say he should stay as ACT leader
- 35% say he should step down
- 36% say he should resign from Parliament
Act Leadership
- 30% want Heather Roy (of those who did not say Hide should stay)
- 17% Roger Douglas
- 11% John Boscawen
- 42% None
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August 16, 2010 at 12:44 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged alcohol, drink driving, foreign investment, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 890 have a party preference, (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 August to 10 August 2010
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 54.5% (-0.8%)
- Labour 30.6% (+0.1%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.0%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.6%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 12
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 48.7% (-0.9%)
- Clark 2.3% (-2.6%)
- Goff 7.4% (+2.3%)
- Peters 3.7% (+0.9%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 69.9% (+0.9%) doing well vs 15.9% (nc) doing poorly – net positive is 54.0% (+0.9%)
- Goff – 30.9% (+3.7%) doing well vs 43.9% (-1.5%) doing poorly – net positive is -13.0% (+5.2%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 44% (+6%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+7%)
- sound judgement – Key by 21% (nc)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+1%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 13% (-1%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 2% (-8%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 6% (-3%)
- inflexible – Goff by 7% (+2%)
Land sales to foreigners
- 76% say tighten rules
- 14% say leave as it is
- 8% say relax the rules
Drink Driving
- 35% say keep at 80
- 36% say reduce to 50
- 28% say reduce to zero
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June 20, 2010 at 7:23 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged asset sales, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, privatisation, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 880 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 8 June to 15 June 2010
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 55.3% (+3.2%)
- Labour 30.5% (-3.3%)
- Green 7.5% (-0.7%)
- ACT 1.6% (nc)
- Maori 1.9% (nc)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.4%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.8% (+0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.6% (+0.4%)
- Clark 4.9% (+1.2%)
- Goff 5.1% (-2.4%)
- Peters ?
Leadership Approval
- Key – 69.0% (+0.2%) doing well vs 15.9% (-0.5%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.1% (+0.7%)
- Goff – 27.2% (-6.9%) doing well vs 45.4% (+3.9%) doing poorly – net positive is -18.2% (-10.8%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 20% (-6%)
- down to earth – Key by 12% (-5%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 23% (-2%)
- has personality – Key by 46% (+4%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 5% (-9%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 13% (-2%)
- out of touch – Key by 4% (+1%)
Asset Sales
- 85% say Govt should not sell Kiwibank, 9% say sell
- 53.5% believe National will try and sell Kiwibank if they win a second term, 29.5% think they won’t
- 80% say no the sale of any state assets, with only 12% supporting sale
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