Posts Tagged One News
December 6, 2009 at 4:15 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, electoral system, Hone Harawira, MMP, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 999 adults, of whom 822 are decided
Dates: 21 November to 25 November 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+2.7%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.4% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.6% (+0.4%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 38
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 68% economy over next 12 months will be better (-2.0%)
- 16% same (nc)
- 16% worse (+3.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+4.0%)
- Phil Goff 5% (-4%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-1%)
MMP
- Retain 54% (+7% over June 2008)
- Not Retain 36% (-7%)
- Don’t Know 10% (nc)
Preferred Electoral System
- MMP 39%
- FPP 33%
- STV 12%
- SM 2%
- Don’t Know 14%
Hone Harawira
- 77% say his comments were racist
- 16% say they were not
- 6% don’t know
- 23% say he should remain an MP
- 69% say he should go
- 9% don’t know
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October 12, 2009 at 2:36 pm
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Bill English, Colmar Brunton, MPs expenses, NZ Issues Polls, One News
Colmar Brunton polled on Bill English for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:
- 30% think Bill English has acted with integrity over his housing allowance
- 54% think he has not
- 62% think his actions have damaged his credibility as Finance Minister, while 29% disagree
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October 12, 2009 at 2:32 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Issues Polls, One News, Wanganui
Colmar Brunton polled on the name of Wanganui for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:
- 31% support name change to Whanganui
- 58% do not
- 12% unsure
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October 1, 2009 at 7:25 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 adults, of whom 837 are decided
Dates: 19 September to 24 September 2009
Client: One News
Report:
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 4.3% (-2.7%)
- ACT 3.2% (+2.2%)
- Maori 2.7% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.4% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.7% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- ACT 4
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 70% economy over next 12 months will be better (+10.0%)
- 16% same (-2.0%)
- 13% worse (-9.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 50% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+2%)
- Helen Clark 4% (+1%)
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August 3, 2009 at 7:50 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, One News, Section 59, smacking
The One News Colmar Brunton Poll of 1,001 respondents from 25 to 29 July asked several questions on smacking:
- 70% say they intend to vote in the referendum and 24% do not.
- 20% say the referendum is a good use of public money and 76% do not.
- 25% say the current law as it relates to smacking and child discipline is working and 63% say it is not.
- 13% say they intend to vote yes in the referendum, and 83% vote no
- 2% say it is ok to smack children under any circumstance, 83% say ok to smack under some circumstances and14% say not okay under any circumstances.
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August 2, 2009 at 7:15 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,001 adults, of whom 850 are decided
Dates: 25 July to 29 July 2009
Client: One News
Report:
Party Support
- National 56.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (nc)
- Green 7.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 3.1% (+0.9%)
- United Future not reported yet
- Progressive not reported yet
- NZ First 1.6%
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 8
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/122 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 60% economy over next 12 months will be better (+18.0%)
- 18% same (-1.0%)
- 22% worse (-17.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 51% (nc)
- Phil Goff 7% (+1%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-6%)
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June 8, 2009 at 10:14 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Electorate Polls, Mt Albert, One News
One News had a Colmar Brunton poll in Mt Albert. The poll of 500 people has a margin of error of 4.4%.
Electorate Vote
- David Shearer, Labour 59% (59% in 2008)
- Melissa Lee, National 21% (29%)
- Russel Norman, Greens 15% (6%)
- John Boscawen, ACT 3% (4%)
Party Vote
- Labour 48% (43%)
- National 37% (36%)
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April 6, 2009 at 8:14 am
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Approx 1,000 adults
Dates: Probably 28 March to 2 April 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 57.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1.6% (-1.5%)
- Maori 2.2% (-1.2%)
- United Future not reported yet
- Progressive not reported yet
- NZ First not reported yet
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 37
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 73/124 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/124 -17 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Economic Outlook
- 42% economy over next 12 months will be better (+5.0%)
- 19% same (-2.0%)
- 39% worse (-3.0%)
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March 7, 2009 at 11:08 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, Jobs, Labour, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 total voters, 877 likely voters (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 February to 19 February 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 56.0% (+9.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-7.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-3.0%)
- ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
- Maori 3.4% (+2.1%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.4% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 1.4% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 35
- Green 7
- ACT 4
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 70 = 70/122 – majority possible
- Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 5 = 48/122 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.
Economic Outlook
- 37% economy over next 12 months will be better (-4.0%)
- 21% same (+2.0%)
- 42% worse (+2.0)
Jobs
- 22% worried they could close their job
- 66% not worried
- 8% do not have a job
- 2% have lost their jobs
- 2% don’t know
Labour Leadership
- 53% could name Phil Goff as Labour Leader
- 13% could name Annette King as Deputy Leader of Labour
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November 6, 2008 at 5:15 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 total voters (3.2% maximum margins of error)
Dates: 18 October to 23 October 2008
Client: One News
Report: Not found
Party Support
- National 47.0% (nc)
- Labour 35.0% (nc)
- Green 9.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 2.4% (-0.6%)
- Maori 1.3% (-1.5%)
- United Future 0%
- ACT 2.5% (-0.4%)
- Progressive 0%
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 43
- Green 12
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 3
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 58 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – majority possible
- Labour 43 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 4 = 60/122 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.
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