Posts Tagged NZ Political Party Polls
November 9, 2009 at 4:05 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Marae, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls
Marae has published the results of a poll done by Digipoll between 18 October and 3 November 2009. It is of 1,002 voters of Maori descent – 700 on the Maori Roll, and 302 on the General Roll.
Party Vote
Maori Party 48%
Labour 26%
National 20%
Electorate Vote (Maori roll only)
Maori Party 57%
Labour 33%
National 7%
Preferred PM
John Key 30%
Helen Clark 11%
Pita Sharples 9%
Tariana Turia 6%
Phil Goff 4%
Winston Peters 4%
PM Approval
Approve 55%
Disapprove 36%
Most Favoured Maori MP
Pita Sharples 31.9%
Tariana Turia 16.7%
Hone Harawira 8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 3.3%
Parekura Horomia 3.2%
Most Effective Maori MP
Pita Sharples 31.9%
Tariana Turia 16.7%
Hone Harawira 8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 3.3%
Parekura Horomia 3.2%
Government Approval
Approve 45%
Disapprove 45%
Direction
Right 40%
Wrong 44%
Maori Party Supporters
68% support decision to join the Government and think they made right decision
Only 33% support the arrangement where Maori Party Ministers sit outside Cabinet
Top Issues
Jobs / Unemployment 22.5%
Health 12.6%
Education 10.5%
Family / Whanau 8.9%
Cost of Living 8.7%
Economy 5.6%
Housing 4.1%
Child Care 3.9%
Law and Order 3.7%
Environmental Issues 1.8%
Treaty Claims 1.2%
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October 31, 2009 at 9:41 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, Digipoll, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald pdf
Party Support
- National 57.3% (+9.4%)
- Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
- Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 73
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
- Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
- Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
- Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)
Job Approval
- Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
- Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor
Direction
Financial Crisis Handling by Govt
- 77.6% say good or better
- 20.3% not very good or poor
Personal Situation compared to a year ago
- 28.7% better off
- 32.6% no change
- 37.1% worse off
Most effective Minister
- Bill English 16.2%
- Paula Bennett 5.5%
- Judith Collins 3.1%
- Tony Ryall 2.4%
- Nick Smith 2.4%
- Simon Power 2.0%
Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.
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October 26, 2009 at 6:47 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 05 October to 18 October 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.5% (+1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.0%)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 37
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (-4.5%)
- Wrong 21.5% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)
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October 18, 2009 at 6:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 917 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 October to 14 October 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 59.9% (+1.8%)
- Labour 27.2% (-2.0%)
- Green 6.9% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 74 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 77/124 – 14 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 42/124 -21 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.8% (+4.3%)
- Clark 8.2% (+0.2%)
- Goff 4.7% 6.5% (-1.8%)
- Peters 3.0%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 82.3% (+3.7%) doing well vs 7.2% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 75.1% (=5.1%)
- Goff – 34.2% (-0.2%) doing well vs 37.9% (-3.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -3.7% (+3.5%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 40% (+8%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 28% (+8%)
- honest – Key by 29% (+16%)
- down to earth – Key by 18% (+9%)
- understands economic problems – Key by 30% (+8%)
- has a lot of personality – Key by 46% (+19%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+4%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 8% (-2%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-4%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-2%)
- inflexible – Goff by 9% (-2%)
- inexperienced – Key by 19% (-3%)
- out of touch – Goff by 7% (+4%)
Economy
- 54% said impact of recession has been what they expected
- 30% say it was better than expected
- 14% worse than expected
- 2% don’t know
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October 12, 2009 at 10:52 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 854 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 21 September to 04 October 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 57.5% (+6.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-5.5%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 1.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (nc)
- United Future 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 35
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 44/123 – 18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 72.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 16.5% (-8.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (+3.5%)
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October 1, 2009 at 7:25 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 adults, of whom 837 are decided
Dates: 19 September to 24 September 2009
Client: One News
Report:
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 4.3% (-2.7%)
- ACT 3.2% (+2.2%)
- Maori 2.7% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.4% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.7% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- ACT 4
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 70% economy over next 12 months will be better (+10.0%)
- 16% same (-2.0%)
- 13% worse (-9.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 50% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+2%)
- Helen Clark 4% (+1%)
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September 19, 2009 at 11:06 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 854 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 31 August to 13 September 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.5% (-5.0%)
- Labour 33.5% (+4.0%)
- Green 7.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 51/123 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (+2.0%)
- Wrong 24.5% (+2.5%)
- Can’t Say 8.0% (-4.5%)
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September 14, 2009 at 8:03 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 860 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 17 August to 30 August 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 56.5% (+3.0%)
- Labour 29.5% (-3.0%)
- Green 8.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 1.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 36
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/123 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 47/123 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 65.5% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 22.0% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)
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August 24, 2009 at 11:42 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 816 (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 3 August to 16 August 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.5% (nc)
- Labour 32.5% (-1.5%)
- Green 8.5% (+1.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 40
- Green 10
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 51/124 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 21.5% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-3.5%)
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August 16, 2009 at 8:41 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: estimated 08 April to 13 April 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 58.1% (+2.1%)
- Labour 29.2% (-0.8%)
- Green 7.5% (+1.4%)
- ACT 1.4% (-0.7%)
- Maori 1.2% (-1.7%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 72
- Labour 36
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 126
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 72 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 75/126 – 11 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 46/126 -18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 51.5% (+0.4%)
- Clark 8.0% (-3.5%)
- Goff 6.5% (-2.6%)
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