Posts Tagged NZ Issues Polls
November 1, 2011 at 6:23 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Leader Ratings, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 20 October to 27 October 2011
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 52.3% (-5.1%)
- Labour 30.2% (+3.6%)
- Green 9.4% (-0.4%)
- ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.4% (+0.6%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.4% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 52.7% (-1.8%)
- Goff 9.8% (+3.6%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 71.1% (-5.1%) doing well vs 17.9% (+6.4%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.2% (-11.5%)
- Goff – 28.4% (+1.6%) doing well vs 54.2% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is -25.8% (-3.5%)
Govt handling of Rena
- 36% didn’t do well
- 30% okay
- 34% done well
Importance of Issues
- Environment 8.2/10
- food prices and the quality of our schools at 7.9.
- Hospital care was third at 7.8.
- The price of petrol was fourth at 7.7.
- The number of people living in poverty was fifth 7.5.
Permalink
July 31, 2011 at 7:01 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Coalition Options, Economy, Fairfax, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Research International
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 860 had a party preference
Dates: 21 to 25 July 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 56.0%
- Labour 29.0%
- Green 6.4%
- ACT 2.2%
- Maori 1.2%
- United Future <1%
- Mana 0.2%
- NZ First 2.0%
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 36
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 75/121 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 8 + Mana 1= 45/121 -18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53%
- Phil Goff 6.2%
- Winston Peters 2.5%
Preferred Coalition Partners
- Greens 25%
- ACT 18%
- Maori 11%
- Labour 8.2%
- National 5.5%
- NZ First 2.7%
- United Future 1.2%
- Mana 0.2%
Best plan to fix the economy
- National 49%
- Labour 17%
- Green 1.5%
- ACT 1.8%
- Maori 0.2%
- Mana 0.2%
- NZ First 0.4%
Issues important to voting decisions
- Health and education 90%
- Economy 84%
- Law & Order 83%
- Cost of living 83%
- Rebuilding Christchurch 75%
- Environment 72%
- Social Welfare 65%
- Superannuation/KiwiSaver 64%
- SOEs 60%
- Taxes 59%
- Immigration 47%
Permalink
October 16, 2010 at 8:15 pm · Filed under Local Body Polls, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged ACT, Auckland, John Banks, Leader Ratings, Len Brown, local body elections, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, Rodney Hide, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 863 have a party preference, (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 27 September to 06 October 2010
Client: TV3
Report:
Party Support
- National 53.8% (-0.7%)
- Labour 32.6% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.6% (-0.9%)
- ACT 0.9% (-1.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+0.9%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.1% (+0.1%)
- NZ First 1.2% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 40
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 9 = 49/124 -13 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 50.6% (+1.9%)
- Clark 3.7% (+1.4%)
- Goff 8.8% (+1.4%)
- Peters 3.4% (-0.3%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 75.9% (+6.0%) doing well vs 11.9% (-4.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.0% (+10.0%%)
- Goff – 34.2% (+3.3%) doing well vs 41.9% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -7.7% (+5.3%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 18% (-2%)
- down to earth – Key by 13% (+1%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 26% (+3%)
- has personality – Key by 46% (nc)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-2%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 3% (-10%)
- out of touch – Key by 0% (-4%)
Auckland Mayoralty (500 sample)
Rodney Hide
- 23% say he should stay as ACT leader
- 35% say he should step down
- 36% say he should resign from Parliament
Act Leadership
- 30% want Heather Roy (of those who did not say Hide should stay)
- 17% Roger Douglas
- 11% John Boscawen
- 42% None
Permalink
September 20, 2010 at 6:27 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged 90 day trial law, CTU, NZ Issues Polls, UMR
UMR did a poll on behalf of the CTU of 750 NZers from 9 to 12 September 2010. The question was:
Do you think that all employees should have the right to appeal if they think they have been unfairly dismissed, even if their dismissal was during the first 90 days of their employment?
80% said yes, and 18% no.
Permalink
February 1, 2010 at 4:00 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Leader Ratings, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM
Digipoll did a poll of 1,002 Maori voters between the 6th and 27th of January 2010. 685 (68%) were from the Maori Roll and 317 (32%) from the General Roll.
For each result, I give the overall result, then the response for those on the Maori roll and then General Roll.
Party Vote
- Maori Party 38.3%, 51.2%, 11.30%
- Labour 27.9%, 31.6%, 51.0%
- National 16.9%, 11.4%, 28.4%l
- Greens 3.3%, 3.3%, 3.4%
Preferred PM
- Key 30.5%, 27.9%, 36.0%
- Sharples 11.8%, 14.9%, 5.2%
- Peters 7.0%, 6.0%, 9.2%
- Turia 4.9%, 6.8%, 1.5%
- Goff 4.6%, 3.9%, 6.5%
- Clark 3.8%, 3.7%, 4.0%
- Harawira 3.0%, 4.5%, 0.3%
- Jones 2.2%, 2.2%, 2.5%
Does John Key/Phil Goff provide good leadership on Maori issues?
- John Key Yes – 46.7%, 49.5%, 42.5%
- John Key No – 37.1%, 36.0%, 40.0%
- Phil Goff Yes – 18.2%, 17.1%, 19.1%
- Phil Goff No – 58.9%, 61.9%, 55.1%
Is Phil Goff best person to lead Labour (asked of Labour voters only)?
- Yes 36.0%, 34.4%, 38.3%
- No 48.1%, 49.0%, 37.7%
Permalink
January 3, 2010 at 3:10 am · Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Country Direction, Economy, Leader Ratings, media, Mood of the Nation, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, UMR, unemployment
UMR have published a 42 page mood of the nation for 2009. Some extracts:
- 68% say 2010 will be better than 2009, with 20% disagreeing
- At year end 61% expect economy to get better, and 22% worse
- 41% expect their family’s living standards to get better, and 22% worse
- 49% expect unemployment to go up, and 26% down
- 64% expect interest rates to increase and 11% decrease
- In ten years time, respondents expect the economy (net +22%) to be better, race relations (+16%), transport (+6%), policing (+11%), education (+4%) and the environment (+1%). A net 9% think the health system will be worse.
- 59% say country heading on right track and 30% wrong track. average for yeas was 65% to 23%.
- Corporate net favourable ratings were NZ Post +84%, Telecom +27%, Air NZ +67%, TVNZ +60%
- Bank favourability ratings are Kiwibank 65%, National 55%, ASB 55%, Westpac 55%, BNZ 49%, ANZ 45% and TSB 34%
- Net favourability for Govt agencies are Fire Service +86%, Police +57%, Customs +63%, DOC +57%, MAF +36%, MOD +31%, Nat Lib +44%, MFish +34%, IRD +5%, MOT +5%, NZFSA +19%, Min Ed -4%, Min Health -7%, Treasury -6%, MOJ – 14%, DOL – 5%, Corrections -27%, ACC -37%, MSD -13% and TPK -7%
- Confidence in institutions is Police +30%, GPs +29%, Unis +27%, primary schools +26%, military +6%, small business +5%, sec schools +3%, TV News -10%, banks -13%, public health system -18%, courts -16%, public service -29%, newspapers -33%, religion -34%, Parliament -43%, big business -40%, unions -42%, media generally -55%
- Party Vote Dec 2009 is Nat 48%, Lab 35%, Greens 7.5%
- Net favourability for John Key +54%, Phil Goff +9%,
- Top five issues are economy 33%, unemployment 14%, crime 11%, health care 4%, politics/govt 4%
Permalink
December 6, 2009 at 10:20 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged MMP, NZ Issues Polls, UMR
UMR did a poll of 750 New Zealanders from 22 to 27 October 2009.
Favoured alternatives to MMP:
- FPP 29%
- STV 20%
- SM 9%
- Not Know enough 32%
- Unsure 9%
Retain MMP:
- Retain 48%
- Change 40%
- Unsure 11%
Hold $20 million referendum:
Success of MMP (net ratings)
- More Maori MPs +31%
- More co-operation +27%
- Prlt more representative +24%
- More women MPs +22%
- Legislation consulted more +9%
- Stable Govt +7%
- Make MPs listen +1%
- Harder for parties to break word -2%
- Foster national unity -5%
- Sound economic policies -5%
Permalink
December 6, 2009 at 4:15 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, electoral system, Hone Harawira, MMP, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 999 adults, of whom 822 are decided
Dates: 21 November to 25 November 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+2.7%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.4% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.6% (+0.4%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 38
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 68% economy over next 12 months will be better (-2.0%)
- 16% same (nc)
- 16% worse (+3.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+4.0%)
- Phil Goff 5% (-4%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-1%)
MMP
- Retain 54% (+7% over June 2008)
- Not Retain 36% (-7%)
- Don’t Know 10% (nc)
Preferred Electoral System
- MMP 39%
- FPP 33%
- STV 12%
- SM 2%
- Don’t Know 14%
Hone Harawira
- 77% say his comments were racist
- 16% say they were not
- 6% don’t know
- 23% say he should remain an MP
- 69% say he should go
- 9% don’t know
Permalink
November 9, 2009 at 4:05 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Marae, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls
Marae has published the results of a poll done by Digipoll between 18 October and 3 November 2009. It is of 1,002 voters of Maori descent – 700 on the Maori Roll, and 302 on the General Roll.
Party Vote
Maori Party 48%
Labour 26%
National 20%
Electorate Vote (Maori roll only)
Maori Party 57%
Labour 33%
National 7%
Preferred PM
John Key 30%
Helen Clark 11%
Pita Sharples 9%
Tariana Turia 6%
Phil Goff 4%
Winston Peters 4%
PM Approval
Approve 55%
Disapprove 36%
Most Favoured Maori MP
Pita Sharples 31.9%
Tariana Turia 16.7%
Hone Harawira 8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 3.3%
Parekura Horomia 3.2%
Most Effective Maori MP
Pita Sharples 31.9%
Tariana Turia 16.7%
Hone Harawira 8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 3.3%
Parekura Horomia 3.2%
Government Approval
Approve 45%
Disapprove 45%
Direction
Right 40%
Wrong 44%
Maori Party Supporters
68% support decision to join the Government and think they made right decision
Only 33% support the arrangement where Maori Party Ministers sit outside Cabinet
Top Issues
Jobs / Unemployment 22.5%
Health 12.6%
Education 10.5%
Family / Whanau 8.9%
Cost of Living 8.7%
Economy 5.6%
Housing 4.1%
Child Care 3.9%
Law and Order 3.7%
Environmental Issues 1.8%
Treaty Claims 1.2%
Permalink
