Posts Tagged Leader Ratings
October 31, 2009 at 9:41 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, Digipoll, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald pdf
Party Support
- National 57.3% (+9.4%)
- Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
- Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 73
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
- Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
- Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
- Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)
Job Approval
- Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
- Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor
Direction
Financial Crisis Handling by Govt
- 77.6% say good or better
- 20.3% not very good or poor
Personal Situation compared to a year ago
- 28.7% better off
- 32.6% no change
- 37.1% worse off
Most effective Minister
- Bill English 16.2%
- Paula Bennett 5.5%
- Judith Collins 3.1%
- Tony Ryall 2.4%
- Nick Smith 2.4%
- Simon Power 2.0%
Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.
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October 18, 2009 at 6:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 917 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 October to 14 October 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 59.9% (+1.8%)
- Labour 27.2% (-2.0%)
- Green 6.9% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 74 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 77/124 – 14 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 42/124 -21 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.8% (+4.3%)
- Clark 8.2% (+0.2%)
- Goff 4.7% 6.5% (-1.8%)
- Peters 3.0%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 82.3% (+3.7%) doing well vs 7.2% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 75.1% (=5.1%)
- Goff – 34.2% (-0.2%) doing well vs 37.9% (-3.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -3.7% (+3.5%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 40% (+8%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 28% (+8%)
- honest – Key by 29% (+16%)
- down to earth – Key by 18% (+9%)
- understands economic problems – Key by 30% (+8%)
- has a lot of personality – Key by 46% (+19%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+4%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 8% (-2%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-4%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-2%)
- inflexible – Goff by 9% (-2%)
- inexperienced – Key by 19% (-3%)
- out of touch – Goff by 7% (+4%)
Economy
- 54% said impact of recession has been what they expected
- 30% say it was better than expected
- 14% worse than expected
- 2% don’t know
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May 2, 2009 at 11:39 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, 947 decided (3.2% and 3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 April to 21 April 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 56.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 6.1% (-0.9%)
- ACT 2.1% (+0.9%)
- Maori 2.9% (+0.8%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.3% (-0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 7
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 73/123 – 11 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 = 45/123 -17 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Preferred PM
- Key 51.1% (-0.9%)
- Clark 11.5% (-2.3%)
- Goff 9.1% (+5.4%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 80.2% (+1.2%) doing well vs 7.3% (+1.3%) doing poorly – net positive is 72.9% (-0.1%)
- Goff – 42.2% (-0.8%) doing well vs 28.3% (+1.3%) doing poorly – net positive is 13.9% (-2.1%)
Leadership Characteristics
- capable leader – Key by 32%
- good in a crisis – Key by 24%
- sound judgement – Key by 20%
- honest – Key by 13%
- down to earth – Key by 9%
- understands economic problems – Key by 22%
- has a lot of personality – Key by 27%
- in touch with Maori – Key by 2%
- more style than substance – Key by 10%
- talk down to people – Goff by 11%
- narrow minded – Goff by 12%
- inflexible – Goff by 11%
- inexperienced – Key by 22%
- out of touch – Goff by 3%
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September 28, 2008 at 9:48 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: estimated to be 20 September to 25 September 2008
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 36.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 5.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (nc)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 46
- Green 6
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 3
- Progressive 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 62 + ACT 3 = 65/125 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 6 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 60/125 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 34.0% (nc)
- Clark 32.0% (+1.0%)
Leader Ratings
- Clark – 58% (-5%) performing well vs 27% (+5%) performing badly
- Key – 55% (-1%) performing well vs 24% (+4%) performing badly
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August 25, 2008 at 11:20 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, TNS, TV3
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 August to 20 August 2008
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
Party Support
- National 48.0% (nc)
- Labour 37.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.7%)
- ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 46
- Green 7
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 3
- Progressive 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 60 + ACT 3 = 63/124 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 61/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, NZ First and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive in order of ease are Greens, NZ First, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 34.0% (+2.0%)
- Clark 31.0% (+3.0%)
- Peters 3.0% (-2.0%)
- English 3.0% (+2.0%)
Leader Ratings
- Clark – 63% (+6%) performing well vs 22% (-7%) performing badly
- Key – 56% (+6%) performing well vs 20% (-3%) performing badly
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