Posts Tagged Economy
October 2, 2011 at 8:00 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Economy, Greens, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 22 September to 28 September 2011
Client: 3 News
Report:
Party Support
- National 57.4% (+3.4%)
- Labour 26.6% (-2.2%)
- Green 9.8% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.6% (-0.6%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.7% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 1.9% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 33
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 74/124 – 12 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 46/124 -16 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 54.5% (+1.5%)
- Goff 6.2% (-1.8%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 76.2% (+1.3%) doing well vs 11.5% (-3.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.7% (+4.3%)
- Goff – 26.8% (+0.7%) doing well vs 49.1% (-3.4%) doing poorly – net positive is -22.3% (+4.1%)
Feeling after three years
- 24% say worse off from three years ago
- 19% better off
Greens
- 55% say Greens should accept a coalition deal with National if Key offers one
- 30% say they should not
- 60% of Green voters says Greens should accept and only 27% say no
- 63% of National voters say Greens should accept and only 25% say no
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October 2, 2011 at 7:44 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, Rugby World Cup, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 24 to 28 September 2011
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 56.0% (nc)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 9.0% (+3.0%)
- ACT 1.3% (-0.4%)
- Maori 1.1% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.6% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 1.9% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 36
- Green 11
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 48/122 -14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 59% (+2%)
- Phil Goff 8% (nc)
- Winston Peters 2% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 45% (-4%)
- Worse 35% (+5%)
- Same 20% (nc)
NZ doing good job of Rugby World Cup Hosting
Blame for RWC Opening Night Issues
- The Government 14%
- The Auckland Council 65%
- Neither 6%
- Other 8%
Knowledge of Date of General Election
- End of this year 77%
- Next year 11%
- Not announced yet 8%
- Unsure 4%
What outcome matters more
- Rugby World Cup 30%
- General Election 66%
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July 31, 2011 at 7:01 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Coalition Options, Economy, Fairfax, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Research International
Polling Company: Research International
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 860 had a party preference
Dates: 21 to 25 July 2011
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 56.0%
- Labour 29.0%
- Green 6.4%
- ACT 2.2%
- Maori 1.2%
- United Future <1%
- Mana 0.2%
- NZ First 2.0%
Projected Seats
- National 71
- Labour 36
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 71 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 75/121 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 8 + Mana 1= 45/121 -18 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53%
- Phil Goff 6.2%
- Winston Peters 2.5%
Preferred Coalition Partners
- Greens 25%
- ACT 18%
- Maori 11%
- Labour 8.2%
- National 5.5%
- NZ First 2.7%
- United Future 1.2%
- Mana 0.2%
Best plan to fix the economy
- National 49%
- Labour 17%
- Green 1.5%
- ACT 1.8%
- Maori 0.2%
- Mana 0.2%
- NZ First 0.4%
Issues important to voting decisions
- Health and education 90%
- Economy 84%
- Law & Order 83%
- Cost of living 83%
- Rebuilding Christchurch 75%
- Environment 72%
- Social Welfare 65%
- Superannuation/KiwiSaver 64%
- SOEs 60%
- Taxes 59%
- Immigration 47%
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July 21, 2011 at 1:59 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Capital Gains Tax, Colmar Brunton, David Cunliffe, Economy, Finance Minister, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, tax, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 860 had a party preference
Dates: 9 to 13 July 2011
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 53.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 27.0% (-7.0%)
- Green 10.0% (+4.0%)
- ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
- Maori 3.0% (+1.6%)
- United Future 0.3% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.4% (+0.8%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 33
- Green 12
- ACT 4
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 12 + Mana 1= 46/121 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+1%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 3% (+15)
Economic Outlook
- Better 52% (+4%)
- Worse 28% (-5%)
- Same 20% (+1%)
Capital Gains Tax
- Support 43%
- Oppose 49%
- Don’t Know 9%
Raise tax rate to 39% for those over $120,000
- Support 42%
- Oppose 54%
- Don’t Know 5%
Most trusted party to manage economy
- National 53%
- Labour 24%
- Greens 2%
- ACT 1%
- Don’t Know 13%
Best Finance Minister
- Bill English 49%
- David Cunliffe 29%
- Don’t Know 23%
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May 29, 2011 at 7:33 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Budget, Colmar Brunton, Economy, Maori, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, racism
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Around 1,000
Dates: to 21 to 25 May 2011
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 52.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.2%)
- Maori 1.4% (-0.9%)
- United Future ?
- Mana 0.9%
- NZ First 1.6% (-2.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 42
- Green 7
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 7 + Mana 1= 50/123 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53% (-2%)
- Phil Goff 8% (-3%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 48% (+10%)
- Worse 33% (-12%)
Budget
- 4% feel better off, 62% the same and 29% worse off
- 42% support KiwiSaver changes, 50% opposed
- 31% say Budget will improve economy, 41% no change and 20% will be negative for economy
Racism
- 21% say NZ has a great deal of racism
- 55% say some racism
- 20% say only a little racism
- 3% say no racism
Maori Rights
- 45% say Maori have more rights than other New Zealanders
- 48% say the same rights
- 6% say less rights
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August 16, 2010 at 11:15 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 90 day trial law, alcohol, Chris Carter, Colmar Brunton, drink driving, Economy, One News, Phil Goff, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,011 adults, 864 of whom had a party vote preference
Dates: 31 July to 04 August 2010
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (nc)
- Labour 35.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (nc)
- ACT 2.7% (+1.1%)
- Maori 2.3% (-1.3%)
- United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
Progressive 0.1% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.3% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 44
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 9 = 53/121 -9 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 55% economy over next 12 months will be better (-1.0%)
- 19% same (+1.0%)
- 25% worse (-1.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 45% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+3%)
- Helen Clark 3% (nc)
Drink Drive Limit
- 64% say Govt should have lowered to 0.05
- 34% say should not have lowered
Extending 90 day trial periods
- 60% support extending to all employers
- 36% opposed
Chris Carter
- 58% say he should resign from Parliament
- 33% say he should not
Phil Goff
- 24% say he can win the next election
- 65% say he can not, including 39% of Labour voters
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June 20, 2010 at 7:23 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged asset sales, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, privatisation, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 880 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 8 June to 15 June 2010
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 55.3% (+3.2%)
- Labour 30.5% (-3.3%)
- Green 7.5% (-0.7%)
- ACT 1.6% (nc)
- Maori 1.9% (nc)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.4%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.8% (+0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.6% (+0.4%)
- Clark 4.9% (+1.2%)
- Goff 5.1% (-2.4%)
- Peters ?
Leadership Approval
- Key – 69.0% (+0.2%) doing well vs 15.9% (-0.5%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.1% (+0.7%)
- Goff – 27.2% (-6.9%) doing well vs 45.4% (+3.9%) doing poorly – net positive is -18.2% (-10.8%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- honest – Key by 20% (-6%)
- down to earth – Key by 12% (-5%)
- understands econ problems – Key by 23% (-2%)
- has personality – Key by 46% (+4%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 5% (-9%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- inexperienced – Key by 13% (-2%)
- out of touch – Key by 4% (+1%)
Asset Sales
- 85% say Govt should not sell Kiwibank, 9% say sell
- 53.5% believe National will try and sell Kiwibank if they win a second term, 29.5% think they won’t
- 80% say no the sale of any state assets, with only 12% supporting sale
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May 30, 2010 at 7:26 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged alcohol, Budget, Colmar Brunton, drinking age, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,009 adults, 843 of whom had a party vote preference
Dates: 22 to 26 May 2010
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-5.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (nc)
- Green 7.0% (+2.3%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.6% (+1.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.3%)
Progressive 0.5% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.3% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 41
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 9 = 50/121 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 56% economy over next 12 months will be better (-9.0%)
- 18% same (+2.0%)
- 26% worse (+7.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 46% (-2.0%)
- Phil Goff 6% (-2%)
- Helen Clark not yet known
2010 Budget
- 37% say makes them better off, 53% say it does not
- 61% say budget good for economy, 25% disagree
- 50% say it was fair, and 41% disagree
Drinking Age
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January 3, 2010 at 3:10 am · Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Country Direction, Economy, Leader Ratings, media, Mood of the Nation, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, UMR, unemployment
UMR have published a 42 page mood of the nation for 2009. Some extracts:
- 68% say 2010 will be better than 2009, with 20% disagreeing
- At year end 61% expect economy to get better, and 22% worse
- 41% expect their family’s living standards to get better, and 22% worse
- 49% expect unemployment to go up, and 26% down
- 64% expect interest rates to increase and 11% decrease
- In ten years time, respondents expect the economy (net +22%) to be better, race relations (+16%), transport (+6%), policing (+11%), education (+4%) and the environment (+1%). A net 9% think the health system will be worse.
- 59% say country heading on right track and 30% wrong track. average for yeas was 65% to 23%.
- Corporate net favourable ratings were NZ Post +84%, Telecom +27%, Air NZ +67%, TVNZ +60%
- Bank favourability ratings are Kiwibank 65%, National 55%, ASB 55%, Westpac 55%, BNZ 49%, ANZ 45% and TSB 34%
- Net favourability for Govt agencies are Fire Service +86%, Police +57%, Customs +63%, DOC +57%, MAF +36%, MOD +31%, Nat Lib +44%, MFish +34%, IRD +5%, MOT +5%, NZFSA +19%, Min Ed -4%, Min Health -7%, Treasury -6%, MOJ – 14%, DOL – 5%, Corrections -27%, ACC -37%, MSD -13% and TPK -7%
- Confidence in institutions is Police +30%, GPs +29%, Unis +27%, primary schools +26%, military +6%, small business +5%, sec schools +3%, TV News -10%, banks -13%, public health system -18%, courts -16%, public service -29%, newspapers -33%, religion -34%, Parliament -43%, big business -40%, unions -42%, media generally -55%
- Party Vote Dec 2009 is Nat 48%, Lab 35%, Greens 7.5%
- Net favourability for John Key +54%, Phil Goff +9%,
- Top five issues are economy 33%, unemployment 14%, crime 11%, health care 4%, politics/govt 4%
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December 6, 2009 at 4:15 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, electoral system, Hone Harawira, MMP, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 999 adults, of whom 822 are decided
Dates: 21 November to 25 November 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+2.7%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.4% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.6% (+0.4%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 38
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 68% economy over next 12 months will be better (-2.0%)
- 16% same (nc)
- 16% worse (+3.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+4.0%)
- Phil Goff 5% (-4%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-1%)
MMP
- Retain 54% (+7% over June 2008)
- Not Retain 36% (-7%)
- Don’t Know 10% (nc)
Preferred Electoral System
- MMP 39%
- FPP 33%
- STV 12%
- SM 2%
- Don’t Know 14%
Hone Harawira
- 77% say his comments were racist
- 16% say they were not
- 6% don’t know
- 23% say he should remain an MP
- 69% say he should go
- 9% don’t know
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