Posts Tagged Economy
October 31, 2009 at 9:41 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, Digipoll, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald pdf
Party Support
- National 57.3% (+9.4%)
- Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
- Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 73
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
- Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
- Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
- Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)
Job Approval
- Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
- Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor
Direction
Financial Crisis Handling by Govt
- 77.6% say good or better
- 20.3% not very good or poor
Personal Situation compared to a year ago
- 28.7% better off
- 32.6% no change
- 37.1% worse off
Most effective Minister
- Bill English 16.2%
- Paula Bennett 5.5%
- Judith Collins 3.1%
- Tony Ryall 2.4%
- Nick Smith 2.4%
- Simon Power 2.0%
Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.
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October 18, 2009 at 6:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 917 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 October to 14 October 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 59.9% (+1.8%)
- Labour 27.2% (-2.0%)
- Green 6.9% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 74 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 77/124 – 14 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 42/124 -21 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.8% (+4.3%)
- Clark 8.2% (+0.2%)
- Goff 4.7% 6.5% (-1.8%)
- Peters 3.0%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 82.3% (+3.7%) doing well vs 7.2% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 75.1% (=5.1%)
- Goff – 34.2% (-0.2%) doing well vs 37.9% (-3.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -3.7% (+3.5%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 40% (+8%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 28% (+8%)
- honest – Key by 29% (+16%)
- down to earth – Key by 18% (+9%)
- understands economic problems – Key by 30% (+8%)
- has a lot of personality – Key by 46% (+19%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+4%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 8% (-2%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-4%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-2%)
- inflexible – Goff by 9% (-2%)
- inexperienced – Key by 19% (-3%)
- out of touch – Goff by 7% (+4%)
Economy
- 54% said impact of recession has been what they expected
- 30% say it was better than expected
- 14% worse than expected
- 2% don’t know
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October 1, 2009 at 7:25 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 adults, of whom 837 are decided
Dates: 19 September to 24 September 2009
Client: One News
Report:
Party Support
- National 54.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 4.3% (-2.7%)
- ACT 3.2% (+2.2%)
- Maori 2.7% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.4% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.7% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- ACT 4
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 70% economy over next 12 months will be better (+10.0%)
- 16% same (-2.0%)
- 13% worse (-9.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 50% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+2%)
- Helen Clark 4% (+1%)
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September 14, 2009 at 9:02 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged credit crisis, Economy, recession, UMR
UMR polled 750 NZers from 27 to 30 August 2009.
Findings:
- 36% think the worst of the recession is over -more so amongst men and higher income earners
- Concern about the crisis for the NZ economy has dropped from 72% in June to 61% in August
- Concern about the crisis for people personally has dropped from 54% in June to 48% in August
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May 11, 2009 at 3:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Economy, NZ Issues Polls, UMR
UMR polled 750 people from 2 to 14 April 2009. Findings include:
- 1 in 3 believe the crisis will get a lot worse or lead to a depression
- 41% of Kiwi’s believe economy will pick up within a year
- 82% blame international events for the slow down and only 11% domestic events
- 42% expect to spend less in 2009 than 2008
Full results are here.
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April 6, 2009 at 8:14 am
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Approx 1,000 adults
Dates: Probably 28 March to 2 April 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 57.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1.6% (-1.5%)
- Maori 2.2% (-1.2%)
- United Future not reported yet
- Progressive not reported yet
- NZ First not reported yet
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 37
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 73/124 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/124 -17 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Economic Outlook
- 42% economy over next 12 months will be better (+5.0%)
- 19% same (-2.0%)
- 39% worse (-3.0%)
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March 7, 2009 at 11:08 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, Jobs, Labour, NZ Political Party Polls, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 total voters, 877 likely voters (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 14 February to 19 February 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 56.0% (+9.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-7.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-3.0%)
- ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
- Maori 3.4% (+2.1%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.4% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 1.4% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 35
- Green 7
- ACT 4
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 70 = 70/122 – majority possible
- Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 5 = 48/122 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.
Economic Outlook
- 37% economy over next 12 months will be better (-4.0%)
- 21% same (+2.0%)
- 42% worse (+2.0)
Jobs
- 22% worried they could close their job
- 66% not worried
- 8% do not have a job
- 2% have lost their jobs
- 2% don’t know
Labour Leadership
- 53% could name Phil Goff as Labour Leader
- 13% could name Annette King as Deputy Leader of Labour
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November 6, 2008 at 9:46 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Economy, NZ Herald
The Herald Digipoll asked whether a Labour-led government or a National-led one would better handle the New Zealand economy as the world faces a downturn.
- 49.6% said National
- 40.7% said Labour
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October 20, 2008 at 5:48 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Issues Polls, One News
The One News Colmar Brunton poll asked respondents who they blame for NZ’s economic strife:
- 35% say international forces
- 14% say NZ Govt
- 49% say both
On the issue of who they most trust to manage the economy:
- 48% John Key
- 41% Helen Clark
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October 12, 2008 at 6:23 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008 total voters and 860 decided voters (3.2% and 3.5% maximum margins of error)
Dates: 4 October to 09 October 2008
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 51.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (nc)
- Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 2.6% (+0.6%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.6% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 41
- Green 10
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 63 = 63/124 – majority possible
- Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 59/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 39.0% (-2.0%)
- Clark 31.0% (nc)
- Peters 2.0% (-1.0%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 38.0% (-3.0%)
- Worse 42.0% (+4.0%)
- Same 20.0% (-2.0%)
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