Posts Tagged Digipoll

NZ Herald DigiPoll March 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: 750 respondents

Dates: 11 to 17 March 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 36.3% (+4.4%)
  • Green 9.0% (-1.7%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 46
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 58/124 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.0% (-2.6%)
  • Shearer 18.5% (+5.6%)
  • Peters 4.0%

Country Direction

  • Right 49.0% (+0.9%)
  • Wrong 43.0% (+0.3%)
Asset Sales
  • 52% opposed to sale of MRP, 32% in favour
  • 30% plan to buy shares in MRP

Term of Parliament

  • 51% 3 years
  • 48% 4 years

Marriage

  • Should remain between a man and a woman 48% (+8%)
  • Allow same-sex couples to marry 52% (-4%)

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Te Karere DigiPoll January 2013

Te Karere Digipoll have done a poll of 1,000 Maori votes between 7 and 30 January 2013

The changes are from the last poll in January 2012, or for electorate vote from the November 2011 election.

Party Vote – All Maori voters

  • Labour 33.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 27.5% (+2.5%)
  • National 9.1% (+0.7%)
  • Greens 7.8% (-0.2%)
  • NZ First 6.2% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 5.7% (-4.3%)
  • Don’t Know 9.9% (+2.7%)

Party Vote – Maori voters on Maori roll

  • Labour 34.1% (+3.5%)
  • Maori 33.0% (+2.7%)
  • National 4.8% (-1.7%)
  • Greens 7.4% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 5.8% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 7.6% (-5.3%)
  • Don’t Know 7.0% (+0.6%)

Party Vote – Maori voters on General Roll

  • Labour 32.4% (-13.1%)
  • Maori 15.4% (+7.7%)
  • National 18.2% (+3.7%)
  • Greens 8.5% (+0.3%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (-4.0%)
  • Mana 1.6% (+0.2%)
  • Don’t Know 16.0% (+8.8%)

Electorate Vote – Maori voters on Maori Roll

  • Maori 36.3% (+4.8%)
  • Labour 31.8% (-8.9%)
  • Mana 8.9% (-12.2%)
  • National 5.0% (+5.0%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+3.9%)
  • Green 3.8% (-1.1%)

Labour Leader Name Awareness amongst those voting Labour

  • David Shearer 34.7%
  • Others 2.4%
  • Don’t Know 62.9%

Agreement that David Shearer provides good leadership on Maori issues amongst those voting Labour and know he is leader.

  • Agree 28.0%
  • Disagree 40.7%
  • Don’t Know 31.4%

Government Direction

  • Right 16%
  • Wrong 73%

Agreement that John Key provides good leadership on Maori issues

  • Agree 9%
  • Disagree 85%

Maori Party voters on do you support or oppose the Maori Party working in a formal relationship with the National Party?

  • Support 56%
  • Opoose 37%

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Same Sex Marriage

A Herald Digipoll found:

  • 59% support a change to allow same sex couples to marry
  • 38% say it should remain between a man and a woman
  • 69% of under 50s support same sex marriage
  • 59% of 0 to 64 year olds support same sex marriage
  • 37% of over 65s support same sex marriage

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Herald DigiPoll September 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: presume 750 respondents

Dates: Unknown, early September

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.9% (+0.4%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.7% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-1.4%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 39
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except National winning Epsom (on basis of TVNZ poll).

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 13 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 60/126 -2 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.6% (+2.1%)
  • Shearer 12.9% (-1.3%)

Country Direction

  • Right 48.1% (-1.6%)
  • Wrong 42.7% (-1.4%)

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Mining poll

The Herald reports:

The poll, conducted late last month, showed 27 per cent of those questioned supported the Government’s aim to increase oil gas and mineral exploration and almost a further 40 per cent cautiously supported it.

Thirty per cent of the 750 respondents were strongly opposed or leaned towards opposing increased exploration.

 

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Alcohol polls

The Herald reports:

A Herald DigiPoll found that 56.5 percent of New Zealanders opposed a minimum price for alcohol, while 40.6 percent supported it.

Also the Herald reports:

Asked which purchase age they preferred in Parliament’s review of liquor laws, 54.4 per cent of respondents said 20 years old, and 25 per cent said 20 for off-licensed stores.

Just 19.4 per cent wanted the age kept at 18 for both on-licences (bars and restaurants) and off-licences (supermarkets and bottle stores).

 

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NZ Herald Digipoll June 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.4%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 687 had a party vote preference

Dates: 18 to 25 June 2012

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (-0.6%)
  • Labour 34.0% (-0.8%)
  • Green 9.1% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.3% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.7% (+1.6%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 43
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 11 + Mana 2 = 56/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.5% (-0.4%)
  • Shearer 14.2% (+1.1%)
  • Peters 7.3% (+0.9%)
Country Direction

  • Right 49.7% (+0.5%)

Comments (1)

League Tables poll

The Herald reports:

Almost 59 per cent of DigiPoll respondents approve of publishing of the material, either by the Ministry of Education or the media or both. But 36.4 per cent believe comparisons between schools are unfair.

The poll of 750 people was conducted between June 18 and 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 per cent.

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Gay Adoption poll

The Herald reports:

A Herald-DigiPoll showed that 61.2 per cent of the public felt adoption law should be changed to allow all couples, including same-sex couples, to adopt while 35.1 per cent felt adoption should be kept to heterosexual couples. The survey also showed more than half of New Zealanders approved of gay marriage, while 40.5 per cent opposed it.

The poll had a sample size of 750 people, interviewed between June 18 and June 28, and had a margin of error of 3.6 per cent.

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US military exercises poll

The NZ Herald reports:

A Herald-DigiPoll of 750 voters conducted shortly after the announcement of the Alam Halfa exercise suggests more people approve of the resumption of exercises, but not overwhelmingly.

Asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of the United States resuming military exercises in New Zealand,” 47.6 per cent approved, 44 per cent disapproved and 8.4 per cent didn’t know or wouldn’t say.

A surprising level of disapproval.

Defence Minister Jonathan Coleman said he was a little surprised and thought support for the exercises might be higher but respondents might have thought it involved ship visits.

I suspect so.

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