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Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 877 of whom 833 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 15 April 2013 to 28 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.5% (+6.0%)
• Labour 31.5% (-4.0%)
• Green 11.5% (-2.5%)
• NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 61
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 54.5% (+3.0%)
• Wrong 34.0% (-1.5%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 879 of whom 830 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 01 April 2013 to 14 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 40.5% (-3.5%)
• Labour 35.5% (+1.0%)
• Green 13.5% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 50
• Labour 43
• Green 17
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 50 + United Future 1 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 43 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 67/120 – six more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 51.5% (-2.0%)
• Wrong 35.5% (+1.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 43.5% (-4.0%)
• Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 54
• Labour 40
• Green 17
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
• Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,052 of whom 1,010 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 11 February 2013 to 24 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

• National 47.5% (+3.5%)
• Labour 30.5% (-4%)
• Green 12.5% (-1%)
• NZ First 3.0% (-1%)
• Maori 2.5% (+2.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 39
• Green 16
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/120 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 54.0% (-1.0%)
• Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 January 2013 to 27 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 46.0% (nc)
• Labour 31.5% (nc)
• Green 13.5% (+1.5%)
• NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 38
• Green 16
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 16 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction.0

• Right 57% (+3.5%)
• Wrong 30.5% (-3.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 46.0% (+0.5%)
• Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
• Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (nc)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 39
• Green 15
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 45.5% (+0.5%)
• Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
• Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)