Posts Tagged Colmar Brunton

Colmar Brunton poll on Bill English

Colmar Brunton polled on Bill English for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:

  • 30% think Bill English has acted with integrity over his housing allowance
  • 54% think he has not
  • 62% think his actions have damaged his credibility as Finance Minister, while 29% disagree

Leave a Comment

Colmar Brunton Poll on Wanganui

Colmar Brunton polled on the name of Wanganui for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:

  • 31% support name change to Whanganui
  • 58% do not
  • 12% unsure

Leave a Comment

One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 adults, of whom 837 are decided

Dates: 19 September to 24 September 2009

Client: One News

Report:

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 4.3% (-2.7%)
  • ACT 3.2% (+2.2%)
  • Maori 2.7% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.4% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 1.7% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 42
  • Green 0
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 70% economy over next 12 months will be better (+10.0%)
  • 16% same (-2.0%)
  • 13% worse (-9.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 50% (-1.0%)
  • Phil Goff 9% (+2%)
  • Helen Clark 4% (+1%)

Leave a Comment

Colmar Brunton on Smacking

The One News Colmar Brunton Poll of 1,001 respondents from 25 to 29 July asked several questions on smacking:

  • 70% say they intend to vote in the referendum and 24% do not.
  • 20% say the referendum is a good use of public money and 76% do not.
  • 25% say the current law as it relates to smacking and child discipline is working and 63% say it is not.
  • 13% say they intend to vote yes in the referendum, and 83% vote no
  • 2% say it is ok to smack children under any circumstance, 83% say ok to smack under some circumstances and14% say not okay under any circumstances.

Comments (2)

One News Colmar Brunton Poll July 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,001 adults, of whom 850 are decided

Dates: 25 July to 29 July 2009

Client: One News

Report:

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 31.0% (nc)
  • Green 7.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.1% (+0.9%)
  • United Future not reported yet
  • Progressive not reported yet
  • NZ First 1.6%

Projected Seats

  • National 69
  • Labour 37
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/122 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 60% economy over next 12 months will be better (+18.0%)
  • 18% same (-1.0%)
  • 22% worse (-17.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 51% (nc)
  • Phil Goff 7% (+1%)
  • Helen Clark 3% (-6%)

Comments (1)

North Shore City Colmar Brunton Poll on Auckland

Colmar Brunton did a poll for North Shore City Council on Auckland Governance. It was from 2 to 8 July 2009, and polled 801 ratepayers of North Shore, taken from the White Pages, with a minimum 250 per ward.

The results are weighted by ward population. They have asked for ratepayers only, so residents who do not pay rates may have been excluded.

  • 47% favour a super city and 36% are oppossed
  • 11% said their democratic representation would be better off, 48% much the same and 40% worse off
  • 80% agreed with the statement “All of the councillors on the new Auckland Council should be elected by people in their local area (that is ‘by Ward’) rather than elected by people across the whole region (that is ‘At Large’)”. Note in my opinion that question is faulty as it does not give the option of there being a mixture of wards and at large – as recommended by the Royal Commission and the Government.

Comments (1)

One News Mt Albert Poll

One News had a Colmar Brunton poll in Mt Albert. The poll of 500 people has a margin of error of 4.4%.

Electorate Vote

  • David Shearer, Labour 59% (59% in 2008)
  • Melissa Lee, National 21% (29%)
  • Russel Norman, Greens 15% (6%)
  • John Boscawen, ACT 3% (4%)

Party Vote

  • Labour 48% (43%)
  • National 37% (36%)

Leave a Comment

One News Colmar Brunton Poll March 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Approx 1,000 adults

Dates: Probably 28 March to 2 April 2009

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 57.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.6% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-1.2%)
  • United Future not reported yet
  • Progressive not reported yet
  • NZ First not reported yet

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 37
  • Green 8
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 73/124 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/124 -17 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Economic Outlook

  • 42% economy over next 12 months will be better (+5.0%)
  • 19% same (-2.0%)
  • 39% worse (-3.0%)

Leave a Comment

One News Colmar Brunton Poll February 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 total voters, 877  likely voters (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 14 February to 19 February 2009

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (+9.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-7.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-3.0%)
  • ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 3.4% (+2.1%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.4% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 1.4% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 35
  • Green 7
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • National 70 = 70/122 – majority possible
  • Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 5 = 48/122 = no majority possible

The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.

Economic Outlook

  • 37% economy over next 12 months will be better (-4.0%)
  • 21% same (+2.0%)
  • 42% worse (+2.0)
Jobs
  • 22% worried they could close their job
  • 66% not worried
  • 8% do not have a job
  • 2% have lost their jobs
  • 2% don’t know
Labour Leadership
  • 53% could name Phil Goff as Labour Leader
  • 13% could name Annette King as Deputy Leader of Labour

Leave a Comment

Relationships

Colmar Brunton have done a survey of 500 people for the makers of K-Y. They found:

  • 25% of women say financial worries are affecting intimacy levels in their relationship
  • 19% of men say the same
  • In the 20 to 24 age group, it is 38%

Leave a Comment

Older Posts »