curiablog » Coalition Options

Ikaroa-Rawhiti Marae Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Sun, 02 Nov 2008 04:13:41 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Ikaroa-Rawhiti voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 45.5%
Maori Party 39.2%
NZ First 4.9%
National 3.1%
Green 3.9%

Candidate Support

Parekura Horomia, Labour 49.8%
Derek Fox, Maori Party 44.4%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 50.8%
Winston Peters 6.0%
Pita Sharples 9.1%
John Key 4.6%
Tariana Turia 4.1%

Country Direction

Right 64.0%
No 23.7%
Don’t Know 12.3%

Parekura Horomia Performance

Very Satisfied 19.4%
Satisfied 53.9%
Not Satisfied 18.5%
Don’t Know 8.3%

Most effective Maori MP

Parekura Horomia 30.1%
Pita Sharples 20.4%
Hone Harawira 3.7%
Tariana Turia 11.1%
Winston Peters 7.1%

Most important issue

Maori/Treaty 15.6%
Education 19.0%
Law & Order 8.3%
Health 12.9%
Family Issues 6.5%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 83.4% support, 12.1% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 20.8% support, 73.1% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 15.4%
Maori first 67.0%
Both 17.4%

Hauraki-Waikato Marae Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Fri, 31 Oct 2008 23:19:11 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Hauraki-Waikato voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 41.3%
Maori Party 41.0%
NZ First 4.9%
National 6.4%
Green 4.5%

Candidate Support

Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 50.3%
Angeline Greensill, Maori Party 49.7%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 47.2%
Winston Peters 7.8%
Pita Sharples 8.6%
John Key 5.7%
Tariana Turia 4.9%

Country Direction

Right 52.0%
No 32.6%
Don’t Know 15.4%

Nanaia Mahuta Performance

Very Satisfied 16.3%
Satisfied 57.3%
Not Satisfied 17.0%
Don’t Know 9.5%

Most effective Maori MP

Nanaia Mahuta 21.0%
Pita Sharples 26.9%
Hone Harawira 6.9%
Tariana Turia 4.7%
Winston Peters 10.2%

Most important issue

Maori/Treaty 13.2%
Education 12.1%
Law & Order 11.9%
Health 10.8%
Family Issues 9.0%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.6% support, 14.0% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 24.3% support, 64.0% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 13.4%
Maori first 77.5%
Both 16.2%

Te Tai Tonga Marae Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Fri, 31 Oct 2008 22:24:57 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 44.0%
Maori Party 29.5%
NZ First 4.9%
National 10.9%
Green 8.5%

Candidate Support

Mahara Okeroa, Labour 40.4%
Rahui Reid Katene, Maori Party 46.1%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 47.9%
Winston Peters 7.5%
Pita Sharples 6.9%
John Key 7.0%
Tariana Turia 1.1%

Country Direction

Right 56.1%
No 26.6%
Don’t Know 17.3%

Mahara Okeroa Performance

Very Satisfied 8.4%
Satisfied 47.9%
Not Satisfied 19.7%
Don’t Know 24.0%

Most effective Maori MP

Pita Sharples 23.7%
Hone Harawira 5.9%
Tariana Turia 10.5%
Winston Peters 10.3%

Most important issue

Maori/Treaty 11.7%
Education 15.4%
Law & Order 5.8%
Health 11.3%
Family Issues 5.0%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 79.8% support, 16.5% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 29.8% support, 65.3% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 21.4%
Maori first 63.0%
Both 14.8%

One New Colmar Brunton on Coalitions

dpf — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 06:18:09 +0000

One News reports:

79% agree the party with the most votes should lead Government
15% disagree
47% want National or Labour to govern alone
47% want them to govern in coalition with other parties

Waiariki Marae-Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Mon, 20 Oct 2008 03:52:39 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 September to 14 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 33.8%
Maori Party 48.9%
NZ First 6.3%
National 6.3%
Green 1.4%

Candidate Support

Mita Ririnui, Labour 22.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell, Maori Party 72.8%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 48.2%
Winston Peters 5.2%
Pita Sharples 3.5%
John Key 6.1%
Tariana Turia 7.6%

Country Direction

Right 46.9%
No 35.3%
Don’t Know 17.8%

Te Ururoa Flavell Performance

Very Satisfied 28.3%
Satisfied 56.3%
Not Satisfied 5.4%
Don’t Know 9.8%

Most effective Maori MP

Te Ururoa Flavell 27.9%
Pita Sharples 20.1%
Hone Harawira 5.6%
Tariana Turia 6.8%
Winston Peters 7.3%

Most important issue

Maori/Treaty 21.7%
Education 14.7%
Law & Order 7.2%
Health 10.4%
Family Issues 6.8%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 74.3% support, 19.4% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 24.2% support, 65.8% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 10.5%
Maori first 73.0%
Both 16.2%

Te Tai Hauauru Marae-Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Mon, 20 Oct 2008 03:35:16 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Hauauru voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 September to 14 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 42.5%
Maori Party 44.0%
NZ First 1.9%
National 7.7%
Green 2.1%

Candidate Support

Errol Mason, Labour 15.1%
Tariana Turia, Maori Party 77.7%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 46.8%
Tariana Turia 10.5%
Pita Sharples 8.5%
John Key 6.1%
Winston Peters 3.7%

Country Direction

Right 50.9%
No 32.8%
Don’t Know 16.2%

Tariana Turia Performance

Very Satisfied 29.7%
Satisfied 50.8%
Not Satisfied 8.1%
Don’t Know 11.3%

Most effective Maori MP

Tariana Turia 26.8%
Pita Sharples 23.2%
Hone Harawira 6.8%
Winston Peters 5.7%

Most important issue

Maori/Treaty 16.9%
Health 13.0%
Family Issues 11.2%
Education 9.5%
Law & Order 6.6%
Unemployment 5.8%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.4% support, 15.0% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 28.7% support, 60.4% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 9.0%
Maori first 72.8%
Both 17.7%

Te Tai Tokerau Marae Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 07:02:10 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Tokerau voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 September to 7 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 34.5%
Maori Party 46.8%
NZ First 5.6%
National 6.4%
Green 2.5%

Candidate Support

Kelvin Davis, Labour 25.8%
Hone Harawira, Maori Party 69.0%
Greens 3.4%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 41.4%
Winston Peters 9.9%
Pita Sharples 5.5%
John Key 4.7%
Tariana Turia 5.7%

Country Direction

Right 49.3%
No 36.8%
Don’t Know 13.8%

Hone Harawira Performance

Very Satisfied 28.0%
Satisfied 50.1%
Not Satisfied 14.3%
Don’t Know 7.6%

Most effective Maori MP

Pita Sharples 15.2%
Hone Harawira 31.2%
Tariana Turia 7.4%
Winston Peters 6.3%
Shane Jones 5.6%
Parekura Horomia 1.8%
Dover Samuels 1.4%
Nanaia Mahuta 1.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 1.2%

Most important issue

Maori/Treaty 19.3%
Education 13.5%
Law & Order 5.9%
Health 11.2%
Family Issues 6.8%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 70.9% support, 17.3% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 25.4% support, 60.3% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 10.5%
Maori first 76.3%
Both 12.4%

Tamaki Makaurau Marae Digipoll October 2008

dpf — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 06:42:49 +0000

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Tamaki Makaurau voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 September to 7 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

Labour 37.5%
Maori Party 41.2%
NZ First 7.3%
National 5.9%
Green 4.0%

Candidate Support

Louisa Wall, Labour 13.5%
Pita Sharples, Maori Party 77.4%
Mikaere Curtis, Greens 6.5%

Preferred PM

Helen Clark 39.0%
Winston Peters 10.2%
Pita Sharples 7.2%
John Key 6.7%
Tariana Turia 5.9%

Country Direction

Right 46.5%
No 39.7%
Don’t Know 13.8%

Pita Sharples Performance

Very Satisfied 26.2%
Satisfied 54.1%
Not Satisfied 9.4%
Don’t Know 10.4%

Most effective Maori MP

Pita Sharples 32.8%
Hone Harawira 12.1%
Tariana Turia 9.0%
Winston Peters 7.0%
Parekura Horomia 4.6%
Shane Jones 2.8%
Tau Henare 1.6%
Dover Samuels 1.5%
Nanaia Mahuta 1.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 1.0%
Georgina te Heuheu 1.0%

Most important issue

Education 16.8%
Law & Order 15.1%
Maori/Treaty 11.7%
Health 9.5%
Family Issues 8.0%

Coalitions

Maori Party coalition with Labour – 71.3% support, 20.6% do not
Maori Party coalition with National – 27.7% support, 63.8% do not

Identity

New Zealander First 15.4%
Maori first 72.2%
Both 11.8%

National Party Coalition Options

dpf — Mon, 29 Sep 2008 06:25:20 +0000

TV3/TNS asked about coalition options for National:

51% think John Key will do a coalition with NZ First if it is the only way he can become PM, 41% do not
57% approve of ACT as a coalition partner for National, 30% do not
47% approve of United Future as coalition partner for National, 36% do not
47% approve of Maori Party as coalition partner for National, 42% do not
39% approve of the Greens as coalition partner for National, 52% do not
20% approve of NZ First as coalition partner for National, 72% do not