Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 7.7%

Poll Size: 850 respondents, of whom 785 had a party vote preference

Dates: 17 to 23 November 2011

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 50.9% (+1.0%)
• Labour 28.0% (-1.1%)
• Green 11.8% (-0.8%)
• NZ First 5.2% (+0.3%)
• Maori 0.4% (-0.3%)
• United Future 0.0% (-01.%)
• ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
• Mana 0.3% (-0.1%)
• Conservative 1.3% (+0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 63
• Labour 34
• Green 15
• Maori 4
• United Future 1
• ACT 2
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 126

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Mana one each with Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/126 – 2 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 56/126 -8 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 66.3% (-2.2%)
• Goff 19.5% (+1.6%)
• Peters 4.3% (+0.6%)

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: assumed 19 November to 23 November 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 50.8% (+0.6%)
• Labour 26.0% (-1.4%)
• Green 13.4% (+0.4%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.3%)
• Maori 1.5%  (+0.2%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 1.1% (+0.1%)
• NZ First 3.1% (-0.4%)
• Conservative 1.8% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

• National 65
• Labour 34
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 4
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
• CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 49.0% (nc)
• Goff 12.0% (+2.0%)
• Peters 4.0% (nc)

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000, of whom 838 are decided

Undeicdeds: 15.6%

Dates: 17 to 21 November 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 54.0% (+1.5%)
• Labour 26.0% (+0.1%)
• Green 12.0% (-0.6%)
• ACT 0.7% (-0.3%)
• Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
• United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
• Mana 1.1% (+0.4%)
• NZ First 4.0% (+1.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 69
• Labour 33
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 4
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• John Key 51.5% (-0.7%)
• Phil Goff 12.5% (-1.0%)
• Winston Peters 3.5% (-0.4%)

Preferred Government

• Prefer one party to govern alone 39.7%
• Prefer coalition 54.1%
• No preference 3%

If Phil Goff left politics, who would be the best Labour leader?

* Annette King 21.9 per cent
* David Cunliffe 16.3 per cent
* Shane Jones 12.7 per cent
* David Parker 11.2 per cent

If John Key left politics, who would be the best National leader?

* Bill English 27.1 per cent
* Steven Joyce 18.6 per cent
* Judith Collins 15.7 per cent
* Gerry Brownlee 10.6 per cent.

A Fairfax Media-Research Media International mini-poll of 200 eligible Epsom voters showed National’s Paul Goldsmith easily winning the seat on 45.5 per cent.

ACT candidate John Banks trailed on 29.1 per cent, while Labour’s David Parker had 14.6 per cent. The snap poll, taken on Tuesday, showed last Friday’s meeting with National leader John Key shifted support away from Mr Banks.

Almost 30 per cent said they were now less likely to vote for him. Just under 23 per cent said Mr Key’s public endorsement made it more likely they would favour Mr Banks. About 43 per cent said it made no difference. However, the poll also showed almost 40 per cent were undecided over the blue-ribbon seat, suggesting voters were waiting to see if National needed ACT as a support partner.

Digipoll did a poll of 400 respondents in the Waiariki electorate for Te Karere.

Party Vote

• Maori 40%
• Labour 28%
• Mana 15%
• National 9%
• NZ First 5%
• Greens 3%

Electorate Vote

• Te Ururoa Flavell (Maori) 56%
• Louis Te Kani (Labour) 22%
• Annette Sykes (Mana) 22%

Preferred PM

• John Key 19%
• Pita Sharples 9%
• Phil Goff 7%
• Shane Jones 6%
• Hone Harawira 6%
• Tariana Turia 4%

Government Direction

• Right 27%
• Wrong 60%

Most favoured Maori MP

• Te Ururoa Flavell 27%
• Pita Sharples 15%
• Hone Harawira 13%
• Tariana Turia 9%
• Shane Jones 5%
• Metiria Turei 2%

Most Important Issue

• Jobs 16%
• Education 12%
• Environment 9%
• Economy 9%

Well being

• Better Off 21%
• Worse Off 44%
• No difference 35%