Archive for NZ Political Party Polls
May 20, 2013 at 10:22 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 894 of whom 849 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 29 April 2013 to 12 May 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 44.0% (-2.5%)
- Labour 32.0% (+0.5%)
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 5.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 40
- Green 15
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 56.5% (+2.0%)
- Wrong 30.5% (-3.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+1.5%)
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May 2, 2013 at 7:40 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 877 of whom 833 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 15 April 2013 to 28 April 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 46.5% (+6.0%)
- Labour 31.5% (-4.0%)
- Green 11.5% (-2.5%)
- NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 41
- Green 14
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 54.5% (+3.0%)
- Wrong 34.0% (-1.5%)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)
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April 21, 2013 at 10:32 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, GCSB, Kim Dotcom, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Reid Research
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Approx 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: 13 to 18 April 2013
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 49.4% (-2.0%)
- Labour 30.2% (-2.4%)
- Green 11.5% (+0.7%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.6%)
- United Future
- Mana 1.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 3.8% (+0.4%)
- Conservative 2.0% (+1.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 39
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/123 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/123 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 37.6% (-3.4%)
- Shearer 10.0% (nc)
- Peters
- Norman
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 55.3% (-1.5%) well and 32.2% (+6.4%) poor = +23.1% net well (-7.9%)
- David Shearer - 32.4% (-2.5%) well and 35.8% (-3.8%) poor = -3.4% net well (-6.3%)
GCSB
- 50% trusted
- 40% not trusted
- 11% unsure
Kim Dotcom
- 48% should be allowed to stay
- 42% sent to US
- 10% unsure
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April 21, 2013 at 10:18 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged asset sales, China, Colmar Brunton, Economy, GCSB, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, paid parental leave, Preferred PM, SIS, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,009 respondents of whom 835 had a voting preference
Undecideds: Dates: 13 to 17 April 2013
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 43.0% (-6.0%)
- Labour 36.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
- ACT 0.1% (nc)
- Maori 1.3% (+0.3)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
- Mana 0.1% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 3.0% (-0.9%)
- Conservative 1.7% (+0.8%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 46
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/123 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 63/123 – one more than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 39% (-5.0%)
- David Shearer 15% (nc)
- Winston Peters 3% (-2%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 50% (+2%)
- Same 19% (-3%)
- Worse 31% (+1%)
Partial Asset Sales
- Support 29% (+1%)
- Opposed 64% (nc)
- Unsure 8% (+2%)
Paid Parental Leave
- 62% support extension from 14 to 26 weeks
- 34% opposed
Trust in Security Services
- 32% do not trust
- 32% trust
- 33% in the middle
Relationship with China
- 41% comfortable
- 30% uncomfortable
- 28% neutral
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April 19, 2013 at 8:47 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 879 of whom 830 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 01 April 2013 to 14 April 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 40.5% (-3.5%)
- Labour 35.5% (+1.0%)
- Green 13.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (nc)
- Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 50
- Labour 43
- Green 17
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 50 + United Future 1 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 43 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 67/120 – six more than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 51.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 35.5% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)
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March 21, 2013 at 1:01 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged asset sales, Country Direction, Digipoll, Mighty River Power, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, same sex marriage, Term of Parliament
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: Unknown
Poll Size: 750 respondents
Dates: 11 to 17 March 2013
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 48.5% (+0.6%)
- Labour 36.3% (+4.4%)
- Green 9.0% (-1.7%)
- NZ First 2.5% (-3.0%)
- Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Conservative 1.3% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 46
- Green 11
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 58/124 -5 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 63.0% (-2.6%)
- Shearer 18.5% (+5.6%)
- Peters 4.0%
Country Direction
- Right 49.0% (+0.9%)
- Wrong 43.0% (+0.3%)
Asset Sales
- 52% opposed to sale of MRP, 32% in favour
- 30% plan to buy shares in MRP
Term of Parliament
Marriage
- Should remain between a man and a woman 48% (+8%)
- Allow same-sex couples to marry 52% (-4%)
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March 21, 2013 at 12:12 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.5% (-4.0%)
- Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 54
- Labour 40
- Green 17
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)
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February 28, 2013 at 9:35 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,052 of whom 1,010 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 11 February 2013 to 24 February 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Scoop
Party Support
- National 47.5% (+3.5%)
- Labour 30.5% (-4%)
- Green 12.5% (-1%)
- NZ First 3.0% (-1%)
- Maori 2.5% (+2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (nc)
- Conservative 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 39
- Green 16
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 120
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/120 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 54.0% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)
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February 24, 2013 at 6:24 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 807 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 16.2%
Dates: 12 to 21 February 2013
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 51.4% (+4.4%)
- Labour 32.6% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.8% (-2.2%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
- Maori 0.4% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 3.4% (+1.4%)
- Conservative 0.9% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 41.0% (+3.6%)
- Shearer 10.0% (-2.6%)
- Peters 4.7% (-1.1%)
- Norman 1.8% (-0.4%)
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 56.8% (+4.9%) well and 25.8% (-3.6%) poor = +31.0% net well (+8.5%)
- David Shearer - 34.9% (+3.3%) well and 32.0% (-2.4%) poor = 2.9% net well (+5.7%)
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February 20, 2013 at 6:44 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged David Bain, Fairfax, Hekia Parata, Ipsos, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 828 have a party preference
Undecideds: 17.2%
Dates: 10 February 2013 to 14 February 2013
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 44.9% (-1.3%)
- Labour 36.3% (+1.9%)
- Green 10.7% (+0.2%)
- NZ First 2.8% (-1.0%)
- Maori 1.3% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
- ACT 0.4% (+0.4%)
- Mana 1.4% (+0.8%)
- Conservative 1.6% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 46
- Green 13
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 2
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 46 + Greens 13 + Mana 2 = 61/122 – one fewerthan the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Should Hekia Parata be removed from Education
- Yes 60%
- No 22%
- Don’t Know 18%
Was David Bain wrongfully imprisoned?
- Yes 40%
- No 28%
- Unsure 32%
Should David Bain get compensation?
Overall on Bain
- wrongfully jailed and deserves compensation 36%
- not wrongfully imprisoned and deserves nothing 22%
- mixed views about imprisonment and compensation 10%
- unsure 33%
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