Roy Morgan poll late February 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,052 of whom 1,010 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 11 February 2013 to 24 February 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (+3.5%)
  • Labour 30.5% (-4%)
  • Green 12.5% (-1%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+2.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/120 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.0% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)
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1 Comment »

  1. [...] lastest Roy Morgan poll puts National on 60 seats with a 47.5% vote share, easily able to form a centre right [...]

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