Roy Morgan poll early January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (nc)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
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