One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,005 of whom 878 had a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 28 July to 1 August 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 2.3% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.4% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 56/122 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45% (-3%)
  • David Shearer 13% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • 32% in favour
  • 62% against
  • 59% say they could afford to buy $1,000 of shares
  • 41% say they could not
  • 34% say they are very or quite likely to buy shares
  • 25% say not likely to buy shares and 40% not at all likely

Alcohol minimum price

  • 54% support a minimum price
  • 42% do not
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1 Comment »

  1. [...] blogged at Curiablog the results of the One News and 3 News [...]

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